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Northern Trust Corporation (N1TR34) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · BR · Market cap R$174B

NT Northern Trust Corporation N1TR34 · SA
PriceR$451.50
Fair ValueR$79.78
Upside-82.3%
Quality66/100
Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 22.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.67% dividend yield
Wide moat 68/100
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Evidence: High Range R$59.84 – R$99.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +10.9% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$99.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

R$479.71 R$340.29 Fair Value R$79.78 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range R$340.29 – R$479.71 · fair‑value band R$59.84 – R$99.73 · the R$451.50 price screens above the R$79.78 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Northern Trust Corporation (N1TR34) currently trades at R$451.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$79.78, implying the stock looks roughly 82.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Northern Trust Corporation generated revenue of R$8.4B at a net margin of 22.4%. Revenue grew 13.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$59.84 (bear case) to R$99.73 (bull case); at R$451.50, the current price sits above that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -82%, N1TR34 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$8.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.9%
Net margin 22.4%
Return on equity 14.5%
Free cash flow R$4.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 16.8
More key figures
Operating margin 31.7%
EPS (TTM) R$24.17
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +42.6%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100
Profitability 29
Quality Growth 46
Cashflow 96
Fin. Strength 22
Investment 78
Low Volatility 58
Momentum 73
52W Momentum 76
Net Issuance 100

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Northern Trust Corporation, a financial holding company, provides wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking solutions for corporations, institutions, families, and individuals. It operates in two segments, Asset Servicing and Wealth Management.

Full company description

Northern Trust Corporation, a financial holding company, provides wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking solutions for corporations, institutions, families, and individuals. It operates in two segments, Asset Servicing and Wealth Management. The Asset Servicing segment offers asset servicing and related services, including custody, fund administration, investment operations outsourcing, investment management, investment risk and analytical, employee benefit, securities lending, foreign exchange, treasury management, brokerage, transition management, banking, and cash management services. It serves corporate and public retirement funds, foundations, endowments, fund managers, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds, and other institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers trust, investment management, custody, and philanthropic; financial consulting; guardianship and estate administration; family business consulting; family financial education; brokerage; and private and business banking services. This segment also provides global custody; fiduciary; family office consulting; and technology solutions to high-net-worth individuals and families, business owners, executives, professionals, retirees, and established privately-held businesses. In addition, it offers asset management, and related services and other products comprising active and passive equity; active and passive fixed income; cash management; muti-asset and alternative asset classes which includes private equity and hedge funds of funds; and multi-manager advisory services and products through separately managed accounts, bank common and collective funds, registered investment companies, exchange traded funds, non-U.S. collective investment funds, and unregistered private investment funds. Further, the company provides overlay and other risk management services. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Northern Trust Corporation reported revenue of R$13.6B in FY2025 versus R$7.5B in FY2022, a compound +22.0%/yr. Reported net income was R$1.7B in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +22.0%/yr
FY22 R$7.5B
FY23 R$11.3B
FY24 R$15.1B
FY25 R$13.6B
Net income +9.1%/yr
FY22 R$1.3B
FY23 R$1.1B
FY24 R$2.0B
FY25 R$1.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Northern Trust Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/N1TR34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

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Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $4.20 $6.41 +53%
The Schiehallion Fund Limited MNTN $0.0214 $0.0400 +87%
BlackRock, Inc UU2 €923.80 €569.37 -38%
Blackstone Inc BX $118.55 $61.04 -49%
Investor AB INVEB kr 393.75 kr 1,417 +260%
Brookfield Corporation BN $44.44 $5.89 -87%
KKR & Co KKR $94.45 $26.57 -72%
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd BAM C$63.81 C$41.56 -35%
State Street Corporation S1TT34 R$890.00 R$212.81 -76%
EQT AB EQT kr 294.10 kr 67.55 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Northern Trust Corporation (N1TR34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$79.78 versus a price of R$451.50, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of N1TR34?
Our model-based fair value for Northern Trust Corporation is R$79.78 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$451.50.
What is the quality score of N1TR34?
Northern Trust Corporation has a Quality Score of 66/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Northern Trust Corporation (N1TR34)?
Northern Trust Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$8.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of N1TR34?
The net profit margin of Northern Trust Corporation is about 22.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Northern Trust Corporation pay a dividend?
Northern Trust Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.78% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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