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Notorious Pictures S.p.A (NPI) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · IT · Market cap €14.4M

NP Notorious Pictures S.p.A NPI · MI
Price€0.6600
Fair Value€3.11
Upside+371.2%
Quality92/100
Evidence: Low Range €2.15 – €4.07

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 25, 2026 — revised from €3.32 to €3.11 (−6.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

€0.8090 €0.6547 Fair Value €3.11 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range €0.6547 – €0.8090 · fair‑value band €2.15 – €4.07 · the €0.6600 price screens below the €3.11 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Notorious Pictures S.p.A (NPI) currently trades at €0.6600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.11 — implying the stock looks roughly 371.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 92/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Notorious Pictures S.p.A generated revenue of €36.2M at a net margin of -9.0%. Revenue declined 76.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.2%. Net debt stands at €15.7M. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €36.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) -76.1%
Net margin -9.0%
Return on equity -10.2%
Free cash flow −€2.8M FY2023
Operating margin 0.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.1600
EPS growth (YoY) +10.0%
Net debt €15.7M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Notorious Pictures S.p.A. engages in the acquisition and production of cinematographic works in Italy. It is involved in the distribution and marketing of rights of cinema, home video, television, and new media. Notorious Pictures S.p.A. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Notorious Pictures S.p.A reported revenue of €88.2M in FY2024 versus €11.2M in FY2020, a compound +67.6%/yr. Reported net income was €3.3M in FY2024.

Revenue +67.6%/yr
FY20 €11.2M
FY21 €26.2M
FY22 €29.9M
FY23 €30.0M
FY24 €88.2M
Net income
FY20 −€2.1M
FY21 €3.6M
FY22 €4.4M
FY23 €2.1M
FY24 €3.3M

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Similar stocks

6 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFC €64.57 €57.58 -11%
The Walt Disney Company DIS C$11.30 C$7.43 -34%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.24 $9.57 -64%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.23 €14.73 -19%
TKO Group TKO $206.43 $174.49 -15%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $167.50 $44.27 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Notorious Pictures S.p.A (NPI) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.11 versus a price of €0.6600 — about +371% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NPI?
Our 21-model fair value for Notorious Pictures S.p.A is €3.11 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.6600.
What is the quality score of NPI?
Notorious Pictures S.p.A has a Quality Score of 92/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Notorious Pictures S.p.A (NPI)?
Notorious Pictures S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €36.2M (latest available figure, as of Jun 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NPI?
The net profit margin of Notorious Pictures S.p.A is about -9.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.