Nampak Limited (NPK) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ZA · Market cap 3.9B ZAC
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −8.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R431.38 – R552.30 · fair‑value band R1,606 – R2,924 · the R440.00 price screens below the R2,265 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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Nampak Limited (NPK) currently trades at R440.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R2,265 — implying the stock looks roughly 414.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 91/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nampak Limited generated revenue of 10.7B ZAR at a net margin of 9.0%. Revenue declined 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 44.9%. Net debt stands at 3.1B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Nampak Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of packaging products in South Africa and rest of Africa. The company offers beverage, food, and aerosol cans; and other metal packaging products. It also provides date/batch, small character ink jet, and large character ink jet coding; laser coding technologies; thermal transfer overprinting; thermal inkjet printing; marking, addressing, barcoding, and labelling solutions; metal detection; X-ray inspection; package integrity inspection/pressure or vacuum loss detection; and fume extraction systems. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Sandton, South Africa.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nampak Limited reported revenue of R10.7B in FY2025 versus R14.0B in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was R3.5B in FY2025, compounding +74.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
6 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF | $44.20 | $27.40 | -38% |
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $41.28 | $40.96 | -1% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $216.64 | $122.66 | -43% |
| International Paper Company IP | $33.83 | $70.52 | +108% |
| Amcor plc AMCR | $37.64 | $18.34 | -51% |
| Ball Corporation B1LL34 | R$146.83 | R$18.44 | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.