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Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited $4.73, price $3.00, upside +57.7%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · US

NS Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited logo Some data Sep 13, 2026

Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited

NPSGF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value $4.73 · Strongly undervalued (+58%)
!Quality 28/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +12.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.5% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 13 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$6.00 $3.00 Fair Value $4.73 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.00 – $6.00 · fair‑value band $3.35 – $4.73 · the $3.00 price screens below the $4.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Nippon Sheet Glass Company, Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of glass and glass products in Europe, Asia, and the Americas. The company operates through Architectural, Automotive, Technical Glass, and Other segments.

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Nippon Sheet Glass Company, Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of glass and glass products in Europe, Asia, and the Americas. The company operates through Architectural, Automotive, Technical Glass, and Other segments. It offers flat glass and various interior and exterior glazing products within commercial and residential markets; and glass for the solar energy sector. The company also provides automotive products, including front and rear door, front and rear quarter, and front and rear vent glasses; and windshield, sunroof, and rear window glasses; and distributes glass for light, medium and heavy duty commercial vehicles, as well as off-road vehicles, bus and coach, and marine and rails. In addition, it offers information and telecommunication devices; functional products under the MICROGLAS brand name; and fine glass products, such as thin sheets, special glass for chemical strengthening, and anti-glare glass products. The company was formerly known as America Japan Sheet Glass Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nippon Sheet Glass Company, Limited in 1931. The company was incorporated in 1918 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Stock analysis

Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF) currently trades at $3.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.73, implying the stock looks roughly 36.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $4.94 per share, and 10 of the 11 models we run sit above the $3.00 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.7354, and 1 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $3.35 (bear) to $4.73 (bull), the price of $3.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited reported revenue of ¥885B in FY2026 versus ¥601B in FY2022, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.4B in FY2026, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $433M · P/E ratio 15.8 · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) $0.1900 · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8% · Operating margin 4.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 58%, NPSGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.35 Fair Value $4.73 Bull $4.73
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0916 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $5.01 $4.73 $3.66 71
EPV n/a n/a $0.4207 68
ROIC Compounder n/a n/a $0.4207 68
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.47 $3.23 $4.12 66
PEG = 1.0 $0.5148 $0.7354 $0.9560 57
EPV n/a n/a $0.4207 68
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.56 $4.74 $5.93 63
P/S Multiple $2.75 $3.67 $4.58 58
P/B Multiple $2.75 $3.67 $4.58 55
EV/EBIT $7.61 $14.79 $21.98 63
EV/EBITDA $24.37 $37.14 $49.92 66
EV/Revenue $0.5803 $6.81 $13.04 47
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.69 $4.94 $7.38 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.01 $4.73 $3.66 71
ROIC Compounder n/a n/a $0.4207 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.64 $3.77 $4.90 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.3%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
Revenue growth 21 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−7.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7% vs −3%, slowing
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 4%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Compare Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited with another stock

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 653 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +53% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.27× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)68 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)13 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 35

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,860 $2,287 −20%
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Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥54.08 ¥72.66 +34%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹164.30 ₹85.89 −48%
Magna International Inc MGA $63.74 $68.17 +7%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹47,800 ₹11,534 −76%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥43.76 ¥28.28 −35%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹1,919 ₹393.20 −80%
Autoliv, Inc ALIVSDB kr 1,144 kr 1,950 +70%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NPSGF

Frequently asked questions

Is Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.73 versus a price of $3.00, about +58% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NPSGF?
Our model-based fair value for Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited is $4.73 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.00.
What is the quality score of NPSGF?
Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.73 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.35, optimistic scenario $4.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.73, about +58% upside versus a price of $3.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.35, optimistic scenario $4.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥879B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited it is $4.73 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $3.00. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, NPSGF trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.00, fair value $4.73, a gap of about +58% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NPSGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.73). For Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited the two are $1.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited worth?
The market values Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited at about $433M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $3.00; our models calculate a fair value of $4.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NPSGF?
Our models span a range for Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited: cautious scenario $3.35, base $4.73, optimistic $4.73 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $3.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NPSGF?
Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.73 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 3.4%, debt of 2.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NPSGF from its 52-week high?
Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited trades at $3.00, about 14% below its 52-week high of $3.50 and 4% above the low of $2.88 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $3.00, calculated fair value $4.73 (+58%), Quality Score 28/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NPSGF calculated?
We run Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited currently trades 58 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $3.00. Our model-based fair value is $4.73, about +58% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.35). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Where does the earnings growth of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF) come from?
Earnings per share at Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited grew +3.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.1 %, EBIT margin +0.4 %, tax rate +8.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
The market capitalisation of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited is $433M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited is 0.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
Earnings per share at Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited are $0.1900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
The net margin of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited is 0.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
The operating margin of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
Revenue at Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited is growing +13.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF)?
Earnings per share at Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited are growing −65.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF) generate?
The free cash flow of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited is −¥1.8B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (NPSGF) carry?
The net debt of Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited is ¥493B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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