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NXG (NXG) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · Market cap A$10.6B

N NXG NXG · AU
PriceA$14.50
Fair ValueA$4.99
Upside-65.6%
Quality30/100
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Evidence: Low Range A$3.74 – A$6.24

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −11.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$20.41 A$10.10 Fair Value A$4.99 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range A$10.10 – A$20.41 · fair‑value band A$3.74 – A$6.24 · the A$14.50 price screens above the A$4.99 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

NXG (NXG) currently trades at A$14.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$4.99 — implying the stock looks roughly 65.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

It earns a return on equity of -29.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$216M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Return on equity -29.6%
Free cash flow −A$79.0M FY2025
EPS (TTM) A$-0.6900
Net cash A$216M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NXG reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$315M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY21 A$0
FY22 A$0
FY23 A$0
FY24 A$0
FY25 A$0
Net income
FY21 −A$119M
FY22 −A$56.6M
FY23 A$80.8M
FY24 −A$77.6M
FY25 −A$315M

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Similar stocks

6 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cameco Corporation CCJ $120.51 $10.69 -91%
China National Uranium Co 001280 ¥74.25 ¥11.54 -84%
National Atomic Company NATKY $71.80 $101.21 +41%
NexGen Energy Ltd NXE $10.45 $4.98 -52%
Uranium Energy Corp UEC $12.65 $0.4700 -96%
Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund UU $18.69 $29.89 +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NXG (NXG) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$4.99 versus a price of A$14.50 — about −66% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of NXG?
Our model-based fair value for NXG is A$4.99 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$14.50.
What is the quality score of NXG?
NXG has a Quality Score of 30/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the net profit margin of NXG?
The net profit margin of NXG is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.