National Atomic Company (NATKY) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $18.4B
National Atomic Company
NATKY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +0.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 12% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($35.45 to $131.57). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Our model range runs from $35.45 (bear) to $131.57 (bull), base $61.96. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range $22.15 – $92.96 · fair‑value band $35.45 – $131.57 · the $70.25 price screens above the $61.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
National Atomic Company (NATKY) currently trades at $70.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $61.96, implying the stock looks roughly 11.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, National Atomic Company generated revenue of $1.9T at a net margin of 30.8%. Revenue declined 28.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $139B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $35.45 (bear case) to $131.57 (bull case); at $70.25, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -63% fair-value upside, at -12%, NATKY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($80.76) versus Asset-Based ($9.88). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
National Atomic Company Kazatomprom JSC explores for, produces, processes, markets, and sells uranium and uranium related products. The company operates through two segments, Uranium and Ulba Metallurgical Plan. It also processes rare metals; and manufactures and sells beryllium, tantalum, and niobium products.
Full company description
National Atomic Company Kazatomprom JSC explores for, produces, processes, markets, and sells uranium and uranium related products. The company operates through two segments, Uranium and Ulba Metallurgical Plan. It also processes rare metals; and manufactures and sells beryllium, tantalum, and niobium products. In addition, the company provides communication and security services, and semiconductor materials. Further, it offers research, project, development, and engineering consulting services; scientific support; and procurement and transportation services, as well as monitors radiation level and environment conditions. Additionally, the company is involved in the commercial, investment, and administration of finances, goods, and rights; and provision of research, project, development, and engineering consulting services. It operates in Kazakhstan, China, the Russian Federation, Canada, France, the United Kingdom, the United States, Jersey, Cayman Islands, the United Arab Emirates, and internationally. National Atomic Company Kazatomprom JSC was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Astana, Kazakhstan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
National Atomic Company reported revenue of $1.8T in FY2025 versus $691B in FY2021, a compound +26.2%/yr. Reported net income was $555B in FY2025, compounding +40.9%/yr from FY2021.
NATKY screens 12% overvalued. Compare with Cameco Corporation →
Peer Group
Uranium · 26 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Uranium median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameco Corporation CCJ | $95.99 | $9.62 | -90% |
| China National Uranium Co 001280 | ¥56.66 | ¥11.54 | -80% |
| NexGen Energy Ltd NXE | $9.25 | $1.04 | -89% |
| Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund UU | $18.61 | $29.76 | +60% |
| Centrus Energy Corp LEU | $156.05 | $58.25 | -63% |
| CGN Mining Company 1164 | HK$2.42 | HK$1.01 | -58% |
| Deep Yellow Limited DYL | A$1.23 | A$0.3000 | -76% |
| IsoEnergy Ltd ISOU | $10.01 | $1.78 | -82% |
| Bannerman Energy Ltd BMN | A$3.51 | A$3.63 | +3% |
| Uranium Royalty Corp UROY | $2.76 | $1.62 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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