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Orion Group (ORN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $643M

OG Orion Group logo Orion Group ORN · US
Price$15.56
Fair Value$2.25
Upside-85.5%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $1.67 – $2.25

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +24.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$15.56 $5.96 Fair Value $2.25 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $5.96 – $15.56 · fair‑value band $1.67 – $2.25 · the $15.56 price screens above the $2.25 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Orion Group (ORN) currently trades at $15.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.25 — implying the stock looks roughly 85.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Orion Group generated revenue of $880M at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. Net debt stands at $42.7M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $880M
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.7%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity 5.4%
Free cash flow −$10.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 72.2
More key figures
Operating margin 0.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.2200
EPS growth (YoY) -33.3%
Net debt $42.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Orion Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a specialty construction company for the infrastructure, industrial, and building sectors in the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean Basin. It operates through two segments, Marine and Concrete. The company engages in the building, rehabilitation, and maintenance of a range of marine transportation facilities, including terminals, cruise ship berths, private terminals, U.S. Navy facilities, marinas, and other port facilities; installation of foundations, mooring structures, and related components; provision of ongoing inspection, maintenance, and emergency repair services, as well as logistics services for directional drilling; installation and removal of underwater pipelines and transmission infrastructure, such as industrial intakes and outfalls, river crossing, and tie-ins; construction, repair, and maintenance of overwater bridges, causeways, and fendering systems; and construction of various environmental protection structures, includ…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Orion Group reported revenue of $852M in FY2025 versus $601M in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was $2.5M in FY2025.

Revenue +9.1%/yr
FY21 $601M
FY22 $748M
FY23 $712M
FY24 $796M
FY25 $852M
Net income
FY21 −$14.6M
FY22 −$12.6M
FY23 −$17.9M
FY24 −$1.6M
FY25 $2.5M

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6 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Orion Group (ORN) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.25 versus a price of $15.56 — about −86% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ORN?
Our 21-model fair value for Orion Group is $2.25 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $15.56.
What is the quality score of ORN?
Orion Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Orion Group (ORN)?
Orion Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $880M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ORN?
The net profit margin of Orion Group is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.