Fairvalue-Calculator Fairvalue-Calculator
EN DE

Oatly Group (OTLY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $258M

Price$8.29
Fair Value$3.27
Upside-60.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $2.45 – $4.09

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

✦ Find undervalued quality stocks — 34,000+ analysed Find stocks →

Analysis

Oatly Group (OTLY) currently trades at $8.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.27 — implying the stock looks roughly 60.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Oatly Group AB, an oatmilk company, provides a range of plant-based dairy products in the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, China, Sweden, The Netherlands, Finland, and Switzerland. Its oatmilk portfolio includes original, low-fat, full-fat, chocolate flavored, unsweetened, and Super Basic, which are offered in ambient and chilled packaging. The company offers Barista edition oatmilk; matcha; Oatgurts, which are oat-based yogurts; frozen desserts; cooking products, including regular and organic cooking cream, crème fraiche, whipping cream, vanilla custard, and spreads in a variety of flavors; and ready-to-go drinks. It sells its products through including foodservice, food retail, and e-commerce channels. The company was formerly known as Havre Global AB and changed its name to Oatly Group AB in March 2021. Oatly Group AB was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.

Open the full interactive analysis →

Similar stocks

Nestlé S.A (NESN) -36% Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company (603288) -22% Nestlé India Limited (NESTLEIND) -74% Grupo Bimbo, S.A. (BIMBOA) -21% Uni-President Enterprises Corp (1216) -3% Britannia Industries Limited (BRITANNIA) -32%

Frequently asked questions

Is Oatly Group (OTLY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.27 versus a price of $8.29 — about −61% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of OTLY?
Our 21-model fair value for Oatly Group is $3.27 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.29.
What is the quality score of OTLY?
Oatly Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.