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Phoenix Motor Inc (PEVM) Fair Value & Analysis

US · Market cap $121M

PM Phoenix Motor Inc logo Phoenix Motor Inc PEVM · US
Price$0.7080
Fair Value$1.58
Upside+123.2%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -100.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.19 – $6.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −62.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 123% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.19). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($1.19 to $6.32). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$334.50 $0.7080 Fair Value $1.58 Jun 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

50‑month range $0.7080 – $334.50 · fair‑value band $1.19 – $6.32 · the $0.7080 price screens below the $1.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Phoenix Motor Inc (PEVM) currently trades at $0.7080, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.58, implying the stock looks roughly 123.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality). Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $14.6M. Revenue declined 47.8% year over year. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.19 (bear case) to $6.32 (bull case); at $0.7080, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $1.47 $2.10 $2.73 68
P/E Multiple $0.7000 $0.9300 $1.16 63
Residual Income $0.2600 $0.4500 $8.55 61
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.6900 $1.36 $2.52 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.3200 $2.21 $3.10 54
Lynch FV $1.14 $1.63 $2.12 50
PEG = 1.0 $1.14 $1.63 $2.12 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.7000 $0.9300 $1.16 63
P/S Multiple $0.3400 $0.4600 $0.5700 58
P/B Multiple $0.1400 $0.1800 $0.2300 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0600 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.2600 $0.4500 $8.55 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.47 $2.10 $2.73 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($2.10) versus Asset-Based ($0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $14.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) -47.8%
Net margin -100%
Return on equity -145%
Free cash flow −$2.1M FY2024
Operating margin -78.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.10
Net debt $872K FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 8

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Phoenix Motor Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, assembles, and integrates electric drive systems, and light and medium duty electric vehicles in the United States. The company provides chargers, electric forklifts, shuttle buses, Type A school buses, utility and service trucks, flatbed and cargo trucks, and walk-in vans.

Full company description

Phoenix Motor Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, assembles, and integrates electric drive systems, and light and medium duty electric vehicles in the United States. The company provides chargers, electric forklifts, shuttle buses, Type A school buses, utility and service trucks, flatbed and cargo trucks, and walk-in vans. It offers its products under the Phoenix Motorcars and EdisonFuture brand names. It also engages in the sale and leasing dealership of material handling products including electric lithium-ion forklifts and pallet jacks. The company serves medium-duty fleet customers, including utilities, cities, municipalities, transit agencies, airports, hotels, seaports, school districts, parking companies, universities, and corporate campuses. Phoenix Motor Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Anaheim, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Phoenix Motor Inc reported revenue of $31.2M in FY2024 versus $3.0M in FY2021, a compound +118.7%/yr. Reported net income was $7.9M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$31.2M
Latest YoY
+897.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+118.7%
Revenue +118.7%/yr
FY21 $3.0M
FY22 $4.3M
FY23 $3.1M
FY24 $31.2M
Net income
FY21 −$14.6M
FY22 −$12.7M
FY23 −$20.6M
FY24 $7.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Phoenix Motor Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PEVM

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 99 · sector 0
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 0

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Phoenix Motor Inc (PEVM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.58 versus a price of $0.7080, about +123% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PEVM?
Our model-based fair value for Phoenix Motor Inc is $1.58 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.7080.
What is the quality score of PEVM?
Phoenix Motor Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Phoenix Motor Inc (PEVM)?
Phoenix Motor Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PEVM?
The net profit margin of Phoenix Motor Inc is about -100.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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