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PayPal Holdings (PYPL) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $36.6B

PH PayPal Holdings logo PayPal Holdings PYPL · US
Price$42.38
Fair Value$77.12
Upside+82.0%
Quality58/100
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Evidence: High Range $57.82 – $149.13

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +2.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$72.28 $36.19 Fair Value $77.12 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $36.19 – $72.28 · fair‑value band $57.82 – $149.13 · the $42.38 price screens below the $77.12 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

PayPal Holdings (PYPL) currently trades at $42.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $77.12 — implying the stock looks roughly 82.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PayPal Holdings generated revenue of $33.7B at a net margin of 15.0%. Revenue grew 7.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.1%. Net debt stands at $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $33.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.2%
Net margin 15.0%
Return on equity 25.1%
Free cash flow $5.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 7.8
More key figures
Operating margin 18.0%
EPS (TTM) $5.33
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -6.2%
Net debt $1.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates a technology platform that enables digital payments for merchants and consumers worldwide. The company operates a two-sided network at scale that connects merchants and consumers that enables its customers to connect, transact, and send and receive payments through online and in person, as well as transfer and withdraw funds using various funding sources, such as bank accounts, PayPal or Venmo account balance, consumer credit and debit products, credit and debit cards, and cryptocurrencies, as well as other stored value products, including gift cards and eligible rewards. It provides payment solutions under the PayPal, PayPal Credit, Braintree, Venmo, Xoom, Hyperwallet, Honey, and Paidy names. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PayPal Holdings reported revenue of $33.2B in FY2025 versus $25.4B in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was $5.2B in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +6.9%/yr
FY21 $25.4B
FY22 $27.5B
FY23 $29.8B
FY24 $31.8B
FY25 $33.2B
Net income +5.8%/yr
FY21 $4.2B
FY22 $2.4B
FY23 $4.2B
FY24 $4.1B
FY25 $5.2B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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6 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is PayPal Holdings (PYPL) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $77.12 versus a price of $42.38 — about +82% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of PYPL?
Our model-based fair value for PayPal Holdings is $77.12 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $42.38.
What is the quality score of PYPL?
PayPal Holdings has a Quality Score of 58/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of PayPal Holdings (PYPL)?
PayPal Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $33.7B (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PYPL?
The net profit margin of PayPal Holdings is about 15.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PayPal Holdings pay a dividend?
PayPal Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.98% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.