Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Paramount Gold Nevada Corp is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2751 – $2.67 · fair‑value band $0.1700 – $0.3315 · the $1.28 price screens above the $0.2210 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Paramount Gold Nevada Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of precious metal properties in the United States. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits.
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Paramount Gold Nevada Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of precious metal properties in the United States. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. Its flagship property is the 100% owned Grassy Mountain project covering an area of approximately 8,280 acres, consisting of 3 patented lode claims for approximately 62 acres, 455 unpatented lode claims for approximately 8,173 acres, and 9 mill site claims for approximately 45 acres located in Malheur County, Oregon. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Winnemucca, Nevada.
Stock analysis
Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG) currently trades at $1.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2210, implying the stock looks roughly 479.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.1700 (bear) to $0.3315 (bull), the price of $1.28 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 16/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Paramount Gold Nevada Corp reported revenue of $6.2K in FY2025 versus $330K in FY2021, a compound −63.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $127M · EPS (TTM) $−0.2100 · Return on equity −47.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.8% · Revenue growth (YoY) −54.7% · Free cash flow −$6.4M · Net debt $10.3M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 129% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −83%, PZG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1700Fair Value $0.2210Bull $0.3315
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−99.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−73.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−61.4%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−931.0% (2020) → −111,825.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Paramount Gold Nevada Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 249 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−82% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−55% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.78× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)83· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 20
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2210 versus a price of $1.28, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PZG?
Our model-based fair value for Paramount Gold Nevada Corp is $0.2210 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.28.
What is the quality score of PZG?
Paramount Gold Nevada Corp has a Quality Score of 16/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2210 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1700, optimistic scenario $0.3315. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Paramount Gold Nevada Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2210, about −83% upside versus a price of $1.28 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1700, optimistic scenario $0.3315. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Paramount Gold Nevada Corp it is $0.2210 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $1.28. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Paramount Gold Nevada Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, PZG trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.28, fair value $0.2210, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PZG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2210). For Paramount Gold Nevada Corp the two are $1.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Paramount Gold Nevada Corp worth?
The market values Paramount Gold Nevada Corp at about $127M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $1.28; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2210 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PZG?
Our models span a range for Paramount Gold Nevada Corp: cautious scenario $0.1700, base $0.2210, optimistic $0.3315 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $1.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −47.5%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 16/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PZG from its 52-week high?
Paramount Gold Nevada Corp trades at $1.28, about 53% below its 52-week high of $2.71 and 129% above the low of $0.5580 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2210 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Paramount Gold Nevada Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Paramount Gold Nevada Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $1.28, calculated fair value $0.2210 (−83%), Quality Score 16/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PZG calculated?
We run Paramount Gold Nevada Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2210, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Paramount Gold Nevada Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG)?
The closing price on Sep 16, 2026 was $1.28. Our model-based fair value is $0.2210, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Paramount Gold Nevada Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3315). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (16/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1700 to $0.3315) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG)?
The market capitalisation of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp is $127M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG)?
Earnings per share at Paramount Gold Nevada Corp are $−0.2100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp is −47.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp is −12.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG)?
Revenue at Paramount Gold Nevada Corp is growing −54.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −73.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG) generate?
The free cash flow of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp is −$6.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Paramount Gold Nevada Corp (PZG) carry?
The net debt of Paramount Gold Nevada Corp is $10.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 13, 2026