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Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $30.5M

RC Rand Capital Corporation logo Rand Capital Corporation RAND · US
Price$10.20
Fair Value$4.43
Upside-56.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $3.53 – $5.33

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −2.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$16.97 $9.71 Fair Value $4.43 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $9.71 – $16.97 · fair‑value band $3.53 – $5.33 · the $10.20 price screens above the $4.43 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) currently trades at $10.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.43 — implying the stock looks roughly 56.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $5.7M. Revenue declined 38.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $4.2M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) -38.3%
Net margin -162%
Return on equity -15.9%
Free cash flow $11.3M FY2025
Operating margin 50.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-3.14
Dividend yield 11.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -45.9%
Net cash $4.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Rand Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in subordinated debt with warrants or preferred equity and venture capital investments. Within private equity, the firm specializing in capital growth and lower middle market investments. Within venture capital, it specializing in early to late-stage private businesses. It does not prefer to invest in real estate sector. It prefers to invest in software, professional services, manufacturing, consumer, healthcare, automotive and public d stocks. It prefers to invest in East or Midwest U.S. operations sectors. It typically invests between $0.75 million and $5 million with initial target size of $1.5 million. It seeks to invest in companies having more than $10 million in revenue or having excess of $1.5 million and up to $5 million in EBITDA. It prefers to be a minority stake and seeks to take a Board seat in its portfolio companies. It typically holds its investments for a period up to five years.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rand Capital Corporation reported revenue of $4.5M in FY2025 versus $17.2M in FY2021, a compound −28.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.0M in FY2025.

Revenue −28.6%/yr
FY21 $17.2M
FY22 $682K
FY23 $9.1M
FY24 $11.2M
FY25 $4.5M
Net income
FY21 $15.8M
FY22 −$882K
FY23 $6.5M
FY24 $8.8M
FY25 −$8.0M

Open the full interactive analysis →

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6 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

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BlackRock, Inc BLK 17,417 MXN 10,294 MXN -41%
BH Macro Limited BHMU $0.0442 $0.0900 +104%
Blackstone Inc BX $123.26 $52.88 -57%
Investor AB IVSBF $39.99 $79.98 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rand Capital Corporation (RAND) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.43 versus a price of $10.20 — about −57% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of RAND?
Our 21-model fair value for Rand Capital Corporation is $4.43 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.20.
What is the quality score of RAND?
Rand Capital Corporation has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Rand Capital Corporation (RAND)?
Rand Capital Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.7M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RAND?
The net profit margin of Rand Capital Corporation is about -162.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Rand Capital Corporation pay a dividend?
Rand Capital Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.21% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.