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Retail Food Group (RFG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$39.5M

RF Retail Food Group RFG · AU
PriceA$0.8000
Fair ValueA$3.48
Upside+335.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range A$2.34 – A$3.48

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +21.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$2.35 A$0.6400 Fair Value A$3.48 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.6400 – A$2.35 · fair‑value band A$2.34 – A$3.48 · the A$0.8000 price screens below the A$3.48 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Retail Food Group (RFG) currently trades at A$0.8000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.48 — implying the stock looks roughly 335.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Retail Food Group generated revenue of A$136M at a net margin of -14.9%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.8%. Net debt stands at A$99.9M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$136M
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.4%
Net margin -14.9%
Return on equity -9.8%
Free cash flow A$13.3M FY2025
Operating margin 2.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.3200
EPS growth (YoY) -73.1%
Net debt A$99.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Retail Food Group Limited, a food and beverage company, engages in the management of a multi-brand retail food and beverage franchise in Australia and internationally. It operates in Café, Coffee, Bakery; and Quick Service Restaurants (QSR) segments. The company is involved in the ownership of intellectual properties; the development and management of coffee roasting, pie, and baked product manufacturing facilities; and the wholesale supply of coffee and allied products, and pies and baked products. It also develops and manages the Donut King, Brumby's Bakery, Crust Gourmet Pizza Bar, Rack "em Bones BBQ Ribs, Beefy's Pies, Gloria Jean's Coffees, Pizza Capers Gourmet Kitchen, Michel's Patisserie, Di Bella Coffee, Café2U, CIBO Espresso, Crust Pizza, Donut King Occasions, Firehouse Subs, Gloria Jean's, Michel's, and The Coffee Guy brands. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Robina, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Retail Food Group reported revenue of A$138M in FY2025 versus A$109M in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$14.9M in FY2025.

Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 A$109M
FY22 A$103M
FY23 A$111M
FY24 A$125M
FY25 A$138M
Net income
FY21 A$1.5M
FY22 A$5.3M
FY23 −A$8.9M
FY24 A$5.8M
FY25 −A$14.9M

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Similar stocks

6 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD 4,928 MXN 2,845 MXN -42%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX C$27.68 C$5.93 -79%
Compass Group CMPGF $32.63 $24.90 -24%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMGS C$12.49 C$6.55 -48%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $150.87 $71.29 -53%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $73.20 $42.90 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Retail Food Group (RFG) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$3.48 versus a price of A$0.8000 — about +335% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of RFG?
Our 21-model fair value for Retail Food Group is A$3.48 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.8000.
What is the quality score of RFG?
Retail Food Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Retail Food Group (RFG)?
Retail Food Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$136M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RFG?
The net profit margin of Retail Food Group is about -14.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.