Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Science Applications International Corporation stock $189, price $146, upside +28.9%, quality 66 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $74.19 – $152.91 · fair‑value band $114.67 – $269.86 · the $146.30 price screens below the $188.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Science Applications International Corporation provides technical, engineering, and mission and enterprise information technology (IT) services in the United States. It operates through two segments, Defense and Intelligence; and Civilian.
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The company offers IT modernization services for defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies; digital engineering services; artificial intelligence (AI) solutions; mission systems support and advisory; training and simulation; and ground vehicle support services for the nation's armed forces.
It also provides services for the design, development, integration, deployment, management and operations, sustainability, and security of IT infrastructure; mission IT solutions comprising CJADC2, data and AI, digital transformation, and quantum technologies; enterprise IT solutions consisting of service management, cloud, cybersecurity, and digital workplace; engineering services, including system integration and delivery services; and professional services, such as program management.
The company serves military forces, including the Army, Air Force, Navy, Marines, Coast Guard, and Space Force; agencies of the Department of War, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, U.S. Department of State, Department of Justice, and Department of Homeland Security; and members of the Intelligence Community, as well as civilian markets, such as federal, state, and local governments.
The company was formerly known as SAIC Gemini, Inc. and changed its name to Science Applications International Corporation in September 2013. Science Applications International Corporation was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
Stock analysis
Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) currently trades at $146.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $188.53, implying the stock looks roughly 22% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $228.89 per share, and 11 of the 22 models we run sit above the $146.30 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $22.99, and 11 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $114.67 (bear) to $269.86 (bull), the price of $146.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock reported revenue of $7.3B in FY2026 versus $7.4B in FY2022, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $358M in FY2026, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $6.8B Mid · P/E ratio 17.1 · P/S ratio 0.92 · EPS (TTM) $8.57 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 5.1% · Return on equity 25.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 28% fair-value upside, at 29%, SAIC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$114.67Fair Value $188.53Bull$269.86
Price $146.30 · Upside +28.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($5.46 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $132,500, on Sep 22, 2026.
BuyC. David CushDirector1,000 shares at $132.50$132,500Sep 22, 2026
BuySrinivas AttiliEVP, Civilian2× since Dec 31, 2025: 200 shares, avg. $98.11$19,622Apr 9, 2026
BuyVincent P. DiFronzoEVP,-Air Force & Comb Commands150 shares at $102.89$15,434Dec 23, 2025
BuyJames ReaganInterim CEO, Director1,000 shares at $100.17$100,170Dec 16, 2025
BuyHilary HagemanEVP General Counsel, Secretary100 shares at $100.21$10,021Dec 16, 2025
BuyPrabu NatarajanEVP, Chief Financial Officer2,000 shares at $100.49$200,980Dec 16, 2025
Plus 16 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15.0% vs 10.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 7%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.2% a year for the price and −1.1% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: SAIC draws strength from stable defense and intelligence contracts now bolstered by zero-trust additions, yet its moderate positioning shows thin differentiation and limited public evidence of a durable moat.
Main risk: Generative AI tools might reduce the number of billable engineers needed for IT modernization contracts, squeezing revenues and margins on government work.
Bull case: By integrating AI into its offerings and pivoting to higher-value mission IT and engineering, SAIC could maintain or grow its role as a systems integrator for secure government AI deployments.
Bear case: If AI tools allow agencies to handle more work internally and government spending priorities shift, SAIC might see sustained revenue declines from its core contract base.
SAIC just completed its acquisition of Information Security Corporation to add public key infrastructure, encryption tools and post-quantum capabilities for defense and intelligence customers. The tuck-in strengthens zero-trust offerings against rapidly evolving threats. Our models currently see the stock as undervalued. Does the deal meaningfully accelerate growth in advanced tech contracts or mainly help defend existing positions?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 479 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+28.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)25.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)5.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)8.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.65× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)17.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B4.54× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)0.92× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)11.8× · Cheaper than median
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAIC
Frequently asked questions
Is Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $188.53 versus a price of $146.30, about +29% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SAIC?
Our model-based fair value for Science Applications International Corporation is $188.53 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $146.30.
What is the quality score of SAIC?
Science Applications International Corporation has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $188.53 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $114.67, optimistic scenario $269.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $188.53, about +29% upside versus a price of $146.30 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $114.67, optimistic scenario $269.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
Science Applications International Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock pay a dividend?
Science Applications International Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 1.01% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Science Applications International Corporation pays a dividend of $1.48 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 9, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2013. The payout ratio is 17.3% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 9.31 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Science Applications International Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +2.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.6 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SAIC use?
Our models discount Science Applications International Corporation at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.31, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Science Applications International Corporation that is +2.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Science Applications International Corporation grew +0.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +2.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Science Applications International Corporation (+2.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.48 %: that much free cash flow Science Applications International Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Science Applications International Corporation it is $188.53 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $146.30. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, SAIC trades below its calculated fair value: price $146.30, fair value $188.53, a gap of about +29% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SAIC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($146.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($188.53). For Science Applications International Corporation the two are $42.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock worth?
The market values Science Applications International Corporation at about $6.8B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $146.30; our models calculate a fair value of $188.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SAIC?
Our models span a range for Science Applications International Corporation: cautious scenario $114.67, base $188.53, optimistic $269.86 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $146.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SAIC?
Science Applications International Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.1 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $188.53 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 19.2. Other multiples: PEG 3.7, P/B 4.5, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 12.1.
What is the PEG ratio of SAIC?
The PEG ratio of Science Applications International Corporation is 3.67 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Science Applications International Corporation (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 25.7%, debt of 1.65 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SAIC from its 52-week high?
Science Applications International Corporation trades at $146.30, about 4% below its 52-week high of $152.91 and 80% above the low of $81.40 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $188.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $146.30, calculated fair value $188.53 (+29%), Quality Score 66/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SAIC calculated?
We run Science Applications International Corporation through 22 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $188.53 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Science Applications International Corporation currently trades 22% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $146.30. Our model-based fair value is $188.53, about +29% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock right now?
Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($114.67 to $269.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) come from?
Earnings per share at Science Applications International Corporation grew +12.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.7 %, EBIT margin +3.9 %, tax rate +3.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Science Applications International Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
The market capitalisation of Science Applications International Corporation is $6.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Science Applications International Corporation is 0.92 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
Earnings per share at Science Applications International Corporation are $8.57 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
The dividend yield of Science Applications International Corporation is 1.0% (payout 17.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
The net margin of Science Applications International Corporation is 5.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Science Applications International Corporation is 25.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Science Applications International Corporation is 10.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
The operating margin of Science Applications International Corporation is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
Revenue at Science Applications International Corporation is growing +6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
Earnings per share at Science Applications International Corporation are growing −12.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) carry?
The net debt of Science Applications International Corporation is $2.5B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 4.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026