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Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $4.9B

SA Science Applications International Corporation logo Science Applications International Corporation SAIC · US
Price$126.54
Fair Value$128.01
Upside+1.2%
Quality67/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
1.30% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range $79.03 – $190.12 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +12.1% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($79.03 to $190.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$150.47 $74.40 Fair Value $128.01 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $74.40 – $150.47 · fair‑value band $79.03 – $190.12 · the $126.54 price screens below the $128.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) currently trades at $126.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $128.01, implying the stock looks roughly 1.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Science Applications International Corporation generated revenue of $7.3B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.7%. Net debt stands at $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $79.03 (bear case) to $190.12 (bull case); at $126.54, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 1%, SAIC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $84.33 $130.73 $195.99 80
Residual Income $54.53 $75.52 $410.59 76
Rev-Margin DCF $62.08 $115.27 $174.44 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $80.13 $129.04 $201.52 38
Owner Earnings $56.41 $96.67 $156.34 31
5Y Revenue Exit $62.08 $113.05 $178.38 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $80.45 $144.89 $219.86 41
5Y P/E Exit $65.38 $118.77 $174.21 38
10Y Revenue Exit $65.01 $110.43 $163.49 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $79.14 $131.18 $191.78 37
10Y P/E Exit $70.02 $114.16 $160.64 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $57.58 $113.27 $141.90 54
EPV $47.34 $63.35 $77.16 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $14.54 $20.20 $25.80 70
DDM Multi-Stage $14.54 $20.04 $26.21 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $127.02 $169.36 $211.70 63
P/S Multiple $107.97 $143.96 $179.94 58
P/B Multiple $79.83 $106.44 $133.05 55
EV/EBIT $113.25 $169.03 $224.80 53
EV/EBITDA $101.14 $152.87 $204.61 54
EV/Revenue $58.72 $107.06 $155.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.74 $23.77 $35.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $84.33 $130.73 $195.99 80
Rev-Margin DCF $62.08 $115.27 $174.44 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $54.53 $75.52 $410.59 76
ROIC Compounder $48.45 $68.46 $89.44 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $91.89 $131.27 $170.65 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($143.96) versus Dividend Discount ($20.04). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $7.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.5%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 27.7%
Free cash flow $577M FY2026
P/E ratio 13.0
More key figures
Operating margin 8.8%
EPS (TTM) $8.89
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +83.8%
Net debt $2.5B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Science Applications International Corporation provides technical, engineering, and mission and enterprise information technology (IT) services in the United States. It operates through two segments, Defense and Intelligence; and Civilian.

Full company description

Science Applications International Corporation provides technical, engineering, and mission and enterprise information technology (IT) services in the United States. It operates through two segments, Defense and Intelligence; and Civilian. The company offers IT modernization services for defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies; digital engineering services; artificial intelligence (AI) solutions; mission systems support and advisory; training and simulation; and ground vehicle support services for the nation's armed forces. It also provides services for the design, development, integration, deployment, management and operations, sustainability, and security of IT infrastructure; mission IT solutions comprising CJADC2, data and AI, digital transformation, and quantum technologies; enterprise IT solutions consisting of service management, cloud, cybersecurity, and digital workplace; engineering services, including system integration and delivery services; and professional services, such as program management. The company serves military forces, including the Army, Air Force, Navy, Marines, Coast Guard, and Space Force; agencies of the Department of War, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, U.S. Department of State, Department of Justice, and Department of Homeland Security; and members of the Intelligence Community, as well as civilian markets, such as federal, state, and local governments. The company was formerly known as SAIC Gemini, Inc. and changed its name to Science Applications International Corporation in September 2013. Science Applications International Corporation was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Science Applications International Corporation reported revenue of $7.3B in FY2026 versus $7.4B in FY2022, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $358M in FY2026, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$7.3B
Latest YoY
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
−2.3%
Revenue −0.4%/yr
FY22 $7.4B
FY23 $7.7B
FY24 $7.4B
FY25 $7.5B
FY26 $7.3B
Net income +6.6%/yr
FY22 $277M
FY23 $300M
FY24 $477M
FY25 $362M
FY26 $358M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Science Applications International Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAIC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 480 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.65× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 3.26× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 35 · sector 20
FUTURE 8 · sector 29
PAST 100 · sector 36
HEALTH 18 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 26 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $128.01 versus a price of $126.54, about +1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SAIC?
Our model-based fair value for Science Applications International Corporation is $128.01 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $126.54.
What is the quality score of SAIC?
Science Applications International Corporation has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)?
Science Applications International Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SAIC?
The net profit margin of Science Applications International Corporation is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Science Applications International Corporation pay a dividend?
Science Applications International Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.27% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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