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Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Supergas Energy Ltd ILS 40.61, price ILS 25.38, upside +60.0%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · Il · ISIN IL0011669178

SE Some data Oct 4, 2026

Supergas Energy Ltd

SPGE · TA

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value 40.61 ILA · Strongly undervalued (+60.0%)
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +2.9 %/yr in ILA)
Thin margins · 3.1% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
Some data
Quality 28/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 30/100
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

79.00 ILA 17.06 ILA Fair Value 40.61 ILA May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 17.06 ILA – 79.00 ILA · fair‑value band 37.68 ILA – 42.28 ILA · the 25.38 ILA price screens below the 40.61 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Supergas Energy Ltd. engages in the liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and natural gas and electricity businesses in Israel. The company is involved in the marketing, sale, and distribution of LPG and LPG products; and marketing and sale of natural gas, electricity, and thermal energy. It serves the residential, agricultural, commercial, and industrial sectors.

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Supergas Energy Ltd. engages in the liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and natural gas and electricity businesses in Israel. The company is involved in the marketing, sale, and distribution of LPG and LPG products; and marketing and sale of natural gas, electricity, and thermal energy. It serves the residential, agricultural, commercial, and industrial sectors. The company was founded in 1953 and is based in Netanya, Israel. Supergas Energy Ltd. is a subsidiary of Elco Ltd.

Stock analysis

Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE) currently trades at 25.38 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.61 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 41.68 ILA per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the 25.38 ILA price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 9.02 ILA, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 37.68 ILA (bear) to 42.28 ILA (bull), the price of 25.38 ILA sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Supergas Energy Ltd reported revenue of 623M ILA in FY2021 versus 556M ILA in FY2017, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was 39.3M ILA in FY2021, compounding −12.4%/yr from FY2017.

Key figures

Market cap 976M ILA · P/E ratio 40.3 · P/S ratio 2.54 · EPS (TTM) 1.51 ILA · Net margin 6.3% · Return on equity 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% · Operating margin 7.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 60%, SPGE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 37.68 ILA Fair Value 40.61 ILA Bull 42.28 ILA
Price 25.38 ILA · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 34.08 ILA 34.41 ILA 36.00 ILA 73
EPV 4.55 ILA 9.02 ILA 12.74 ILA 70
Gordon GGM 14.54 ILA 19.57 ILA 24.16 ILA 67
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 16.67 ILA 33.23 ILA 41.72 ILA 63
EPV 4.55 ILA 9.02 ILA 12.74 ILA 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 14.54 ILA 19.57 ILA 24.16 ILA 67
DDM Multi-Stage 14.54 ILA 19.32 ILA 24.20 ILA 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 33.10 ILA 44.13 ILA 55.17 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 31.26 ILA 41.68 ILA 52.10 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 31.26 ILA 41.68 ILA 52.10 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 27.85 ILA 46.56 ILA 65.26 ILA 64
EV/EBITDA 35.27 ILA 56.45 ILA 77.62 ILA 66
EV/Revenue 17.13 ILA 36.58 ILA 56.03 ILA 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 23.13 ILA 31.00 ILA 46.26 ILA 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 34.08 ILA 34.41 ILA 36.00 ILA 73
ROIC Compounder 4.55 ILA 9.02 ILA 12.74 ILA 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 24.16 ILA 34.52 ILA 44.88 ILA 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−27.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2017 to 2021 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 13%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Natural Gas Utilities” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Utilities · 663 stocks

Beats the sector median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2.8% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 24.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.63× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.32× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 1.24× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 12.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)11 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)69 · sector 67
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Natural Gas Utilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $75.74 $29.97 −60%
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €20.73 €9.92 −52%
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.36 ¥31.20 +10%
Enel SpA ENEL €8.67 €3.30 −62%
The Southern Company SO $82.89 $57.57 −31%
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $254.02 $92.53 −64%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $114.13 $74.88 −34%
Engie SA ENGI €22.52 €20.64 −8%
SOJE SOJE $15.82 $15.94 +1%
American Electric Power Company AEP $118.64 $100.03 −16%

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Supergas Energy Ltd · Fair Value
40.61 ILA +38%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Supergas Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPGE

Frequently asked questions

Is Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.61 ILA versus a price of 25.38 ILA, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SPGE?
Our model-based fair value for Supergas Energy Ltd is 40.61 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 25.38 ILA.
What is the quality score of SPGE?
Supergas Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 40.61 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 37.68 ILA, optimistic scenario 42.28 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Supergas Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 40.61 ILA, about +60% upside versus a price of 25.38 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 37.68 ILA, optimistic scenario 42.28 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
Supergas Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 786M ILS (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Supergas Energy Ltd it is 40.61 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 25.38 ILA. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Supergas Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, SPGE trades below its calculated fair value: price 25.38 ILA, fair value 40.61 ILA, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SPGE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (25.38 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (40.61 ILA). For Supergas Energy Ltd the two are 15.23 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Supergas Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Supergas Energy Ltd at about 976M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 25.38 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 40.61 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SPGE?
Our models span a range for Supergas Energy Ltd: cautious scenario 37.68 ILA, base 40.61 ILA, optimistic 42.28 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 25.38 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SPGE?
Supergas Energy Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.3 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 40.61 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 12.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Supergas Energy Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 2.8%, debt of 0.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SPGE from its 52-week high?
Supergas Energy Ltd trades at 25.38 ILA, about 17% below its 52-week high of 30.40 ILA and 21% above the low of 21.00 ILA (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 40.61 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Supergas Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, Iberdrola, S.A, China Yangtze Power Co, Enel SpA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Supergas Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 25.38 ILA, calculated fair value 40.61 ILA (+60%), Quality Score 28/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SPGE calculated?
We run Supergas Energy Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 40.61 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Supergas Energy Ltd currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 25.38 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 40.61 ILA, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Supergas Energy Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (37.68 ILA). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The models converge in a tight band (37.68 ILA to 42.28 ILA), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Supergas Energy Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
The market capitalisation of Supergas Energy Ltd is 976M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Supergas Energy Ltd is 2.54 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
Earnings per share at Supergas Energy Ltd are 1.51 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
The net margin of Supergas Energy Ltd is 6.3% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Supergas Energy Ltd is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Supergas Energy Ltd is 7.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
The operating margin of Supergas Energy Ltd is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
Revenue at Supergas Energy Ltd is growing +24.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE)?
Earnings per share at Supergas Energy Ltd are growing −32.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE) generate?
The free cash flow of Supergas Energy Ltd is −51.3M ILA (fiscal year 2021). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Supergas Energy Ltd (SPGE) carry?
The net debt of Supergas Energy Ltd is 505M ILA (fiscal year 2021). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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