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American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of American Electric Power Company, Inc. BRL 28.39, price BRL 62.94, upside -54.9%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · BR · Home US

AE Some data Sep 29, 2026

American Electric Power Company, Inc.

A1EP34 · SA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value R$28.39 · Strongly overvalued (−54.9%)
!Quality 46/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +3.7 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 16.3% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!1.1% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 12 out of 100
!Weak on balance sheet: 29 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$305.66 R$33.97 Fair Value R$28.39 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$33.97 – R$305.66 · fair‑value band R$25.56 – R$38.12 · the R$62.94 price screens above the R$28.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

American Electric Power Company, Inc., an electric public utility holding company, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers in the United States.

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American Electric Power Company, Inc., an electric public utility holding company, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity for sale to retail and wholesale customers in the United States. It operates through Vertically Integrated Utilities, Transmission and Distribution Utilities, AEP Transmission Holdco, and Generation & Marketing segments. The company generates electricity using coal and lignite, nuclear, natural gas, renewable, hydro, solar, wind, and other energy sources; owns, operates, maintains, and invests in transmission infrastructure; and engages in the retail supply, and wholesale energy trading and marketing businesses. It operates approximately 252,000 circuit miles of distribution lines; 38,000 circuit miles of transmission lines; and 25,000 MWs of regulated owned generating capacity. American Electric Power Company, Inc. was incorporated in 1906 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio.

Stock analysis

American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34) currently trades at R$62.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$28.39, 54.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$52.69 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the R$62.94 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at R$18.23, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: R$25.56 (bear) to R$38.12 (bull), the price of R$62.94 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

American Electric Power Company, Inc. reported revenue of $21.9B in FY2025 versus $19.6B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was $3.6B in FY2025, compounding +15.8%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap R$373B (≈ $71.4B) · P/E ratio 19.6 · P/S ratio 3.20 · EPS (TTM) R$17.51 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 16.4% · Return on equity 12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −55%, A1EP34 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$25.56 Fair Value R$28.39 Bull R$38.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$10.40 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income R$27.07 R$31.08 R$40.36 73
EPV n/a R$2.61 R$8.12 65
ROIC Compounder n/a R$2.61 R$8.12 65
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$23.00 R$63.77 R$83.77 62
Lynch FV R$12.76 R$18.23 R$23.70 58
PEG = 1.0 R$12.76 R$18.23 R$23.70 55
EPV n/a R$2.61 R$8.12 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$17.42 R$36.22 R$57.46 63
DDM Multi-Stage R$17.42 R$27.43 R$38.02 63
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$45.67 R$60.89 R$76.11 63
P/S Multiple R$38.76 R$51.68 R$64.59 58
P/B Multiple R$39.77 R$53.02 R$66.28 55
EV/EBIT R$15.03 R$33.88 R$52.72 62
EV/EBITDA R$20.91 R$41.72 R$62.52 64
EV/Revenue n/a R$10.17 R$25.67 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$14.73 R$19.74 R$29.46 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$27.07 R$31.08 R$40.36 73
ROIC Compounder n/a R$2.61 R$8.12 65
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$36.88 R$52.69 R$68.49 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 24%

A1EP34 screens overvalued: fair value 55% below the price. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −16.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12.6% · Above median
Return on assets 3.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 16.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 23.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.42× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.25× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)12 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)51 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)50 · sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)29 · sector 52
DIVIDEND (yield)22 · sector 65

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $75.74 $29.97 −60%
The Southern Company SO $82.89 $57.57 −31%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $113.41 $74.88 −34%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $60.76 $37.84 −38%
Entergy Corporation ETR $98.10 $37.37 −62%
Xcel Energy Inc XEL $69.39 $54.92 −21%
Exelon Corporation EXC $40.32 $36.01 −11%
Consolidated Edison, Inc ED $103.33 $47.76 −54%
PG&E Corporation PCG $12.34 $17.85 +45%
Public Service Enterprise Group PEG $67.89 $33.50 −51%

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American Electric Power Company, Inc. · Fair Value
R$28.39 −55%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "American Electric Power Company, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/A1EP34

Frequently asked questions

Is American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$28.39 versus a price of R$62.94, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of A1EP34?
Our model-based fair value for American Electric Power Company, Inc. is R$28.39 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$62.94.
What is the quality score of A1EP34?
American Electric Power Company, Inc. has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$28.39 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$25.56, optimistic scenario R$38.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the American Electric Power Company, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$28.39, about −55% upside versus a price of R$62.94 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$25.56, optimistic scenario R$38.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
American Electric Power Company, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $22.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does American Electric Power Company, Inc. pay a dividend?
American Electric Power Company, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.10% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For American Electric Power Company, Inc. it is R$28.39 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$62.94. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is American Electric Power Company, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, A1EP34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$62.94, fair value R$28.39, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of A1EP34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$62.94); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$28.39). For American Electric Power Company, Inc. the two are R$34.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is American Electric Power Company, Inc. worth?
The market values American Electric Power Company, Inc. at about R$373B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$62.94; our models calculate a fair value of R$28.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about A1EP34?
Our models span a range for American Electric Power Company, Inc.: cautious scenario R$25.56, base R$28.39, optimistic R$38.12 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$62.94). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of A1EP34?
American Electric Power Company, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$28.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.3.
What is the PEG ratio of A1EP34?
The PEG ratio of American Electric Power Company, Inc. is 2.25 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
Balance-sheet figures for American Electric Power Company, Inc. (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 12.6%, debt of 1.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is A1EP34 from its 52-week high?
American Electric Power Company, Inc. trades at R$62.94, about 79% below its 52-week high of R$305.66 and 7% above the low of R$59.01 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$28.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to American Electric Power Company, Inc.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is American Electric Power Company, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$62.94, calculated fair value R$28.39 (−55%), Quality Score 46/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of A1EP34 calculated?
We run American Electric Power Company, Inc. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$28.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. American Electric Power Company, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$62.94. Our model-based fair value is R$28.39, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with American Electric Power Company, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$38.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of American Electric Power Company, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
The market capitalisation of American Electric Power Company, Inc. is R$373B (≈ $71.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of American Electric Power Company, Inc. is 3.20 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
Earnings per share at American Electric Power Company, Inc. are R$17.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
The dividend yield of American Electric Power Company, Inc. is 1.1% (payout 4.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
The net margin of American Electric Power Company, Inc. is 16.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of American Electric Power Company, Inc. is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of American Electric Power Company, Inc. is 4.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
The operating margin of American Electric Power Company, Inc. is 23.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
Revenue at American Electric Power Company, Inc. is growing +10.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34)?
Earnings per share at American Electric Power Company, Inc. are growing +6.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34) generate?
The free cash flow of American Electric Power Company, Inc. is −$1.6B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does American Electric Power Company, Inc. (A1EP34) carry?
The net debt of American Electric Power Company, Inc. is $48.6B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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