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Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 29, 2026: fair value of Singapore Post Limited $0.26, price $0.25, upside +4.0%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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SP
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Singapore Post Limited
SPSTF · USLow PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.
·Fair value $0.2600 · Fairly valued (+4.0%)
!Quality 44/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −23.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 16.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!1.5% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2148 – $0.7861 · fair‑value band $0.2100 – $0.3300 · the $0.2500 price screens below the $0.2600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Singapore Post Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the post and parcel, eCommerce logistics, and property businesses in Singapore and internationally.
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Singapore Post Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the post and parcel, eCommerce logistics, and property businesses in Singapore and internationally. The company offers post and parcel related services for collecting, sorting, transporting, and distributing domestic and international mail, as well as agency, financial, and parcel delivery services; and sells philatelic products. It also provides eCommerce logistics, warehousing, fulfilment and distribution, freight forwarding, and other value-added services. In addition, the company provides property rental, as well as management, and advertising and promotion services. Further, it offers management and consultancy, customs brokerage, and financial and treasury services, as well as online shopping platforms and services. The company was founded in 1819 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF) currently trades at $0.2500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2600, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $0.5900 per share, and 10 of the 15 models we run sit above the $0.2500 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1200, and 5 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2100 (bear) to $0.3300 (bull), the price of $0.2500 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Singapore Post Limited reported revenue of 376M SGD in FY2026 versus 1.7B SGD in FY2022, a compound −31.1%/yr. Reported net income was 60.9M SGD in FY2026, compounding −7.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $783M · P/E ratio 12.5 · P/S ratio 2.02 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 16.2% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 4%, SPSTF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2100
Fair Value $0.2600
Bull $0.3300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0096 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings
$0.3300
$0.4000
$0.5100
78
Residual Income
$0.3000
$0.3100
$0.3200
76
EPV
$0.1200
$0.1200
$0.1200
74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$0.3300
$0.4000
$0.5100
78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.1400
$0.1800
$0.2000
67
EPV
$0.1200
$0.1200
$0.1200
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.5500
$0.5900
$0.6600
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.5500
$0.6600
$0.7900
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.3300
$0.4400
$0.5500
63
P/S Multiple
$0.2000
$0.2600
$0.3300
58
P/B Multiple
$0.2700
$0.3600
$0.4500
55
EV/EBIT
$0.1500
$0.1700
$0.1900
66
EV/EBITDA
$0.2400
$0.2900
$0.3400
67
EV/Revenue
$0.1400
$0.1500
$0.1700
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.2000
$0.2700
$0.4100
53
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.3000
$0.3100
$0.3200
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.1200
$0.1200
$0.1200
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.2300
$0.3400
$0.4400
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
44/100
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Profitability
29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
19/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−53.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−41.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.6% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
’15
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’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.0% vs −8.8%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 201 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $93.44 | $107.34 | +15% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €55.74 | €137.08 | +146% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $289.65 | $349.54 | +21% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,199 | kr 711.95 | −41% |
| Poste Italiane S.p.A PST | €24.49 | €14.24 | −42% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 224.50 | CHF 147.92 | −34% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $188.58 | $116.66 | −38% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥30.54 | ¥109.70 | +259% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $226.07 | $133.80 | −41% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $148.24 | $87.31 | −41% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2600 versus the last price from Jul 29, 2026 of $0.2500, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SPSTF?
Our model-based fair value for Singapore Post Limited is $0.2600 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 29, 2026): $0.2500.
What is the quality score of SPSTF?
Singapore Post Limited has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2600 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2100, optimistic scenario $0.3300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Singapore Post Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2600, about +4% upside versus the last price from Jul 29, 2026 of $0.2500 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.2100, optimistic scenario $0.3300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
Singapore Post Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 376M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Singapore Post Limited pay a dividend?
Singapore Post Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Singapore Post Limited it is $0.2600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2500. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Singapore Post Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SPSTF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2500, fair value $0.2600, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SPSTF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2600). For Singapore Post Limited the two are $0.0100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Singapore Post Limited worth?
The market values Singapore Post Limited at about $783M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2500; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SPSTF?
Our models span a range for Singapore Post Limited: cautious scenario $0.2100, base $0.2600, optimistic $0.3300 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SPSTF?
Singapore Post Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2600 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 0.7, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 13.0.
What is the PEG ratio of SPSTF?
The PEG ratio of Singapore Post Limited is 0.40 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Singapore Post Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SPSTF from its 52-week high?
Singapore Post Limited trades at $0.2500, about 38% below its 52-week high of $0.4024 and 14% above the low of $0.2200 (as of Jul 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Singapore Post Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Singapore Post Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2500, calculated fair value $0.2600 (+4%), Quality Score 44/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SPSTF calculated?
We run Singapore Post Limited through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Singapore Post Limited currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 29, 2026 and stands at $0.2500. Our model-based fair value is $0.2600, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Singapore Post Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF) come from?
Earnings per share at Singapore Post Limited grew −0.8 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.4 %, EBIT margin −10.2 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +11.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Singapore Post Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
The market capitalisation of Singapore Post Limited is $783M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Singapore Post Limited is 2.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
Earnings per share at Singapore Post Limited are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
The dividend yield of Singapore Post Limited is 1.5% (payout 18.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
The net margin of Singapore Post Limited is 16.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Singapore Post Limited is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Singapore Post Limited is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
The operating margin of Singapore Post Limited is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
Revenue at Singapore Post Limited is growing −27.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −41.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF)?
Earnings per share at Singapore Post Limited are growing −16.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF) generate?
The free cash flow of Singapore Post Limited is −37.5M SGD (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Singapore Post Limited (SPSTF) carry?
The net debt of Singapore Post Limited is 80.0M SGD (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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