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Spur Corporation (SUR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · ZA · Market cap 3.4B ZAC

SC Spur Corporation SUR · JSE
PriceR40.41
Fair ValueR64.21
Upside+58.9%
Quality93/100
Evidence: High Range R45.75 – R113.57

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −3.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

R43.00 R28.70 Fair Value R64.21 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range R28.70 – R43.00 · fair‑value band R45.75 – R113.57 · the R40.41 price screens below the R64.21 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Spur Corporation (SUR) currently trades at R40.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R64.21 — implying the stock looks roughly 58.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 93/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Spur Corporation generated revenue of 4.0B ZAR at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue grew 8.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 333M ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.0B ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.5%
Net margin 7.2%
Return on equity 34.7%
Free cash flow 168M ZAC FY2025
P/E ratio 11.9
More key figures
Operating margin 10.7%
EPS (TTM) R3.54
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +14.8%
Net cash 333M ZAC FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Spur Corporation Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a restaurant franchisor in South Africa and internationally. It operates and franchises restaurants under the Spur Steak Ranches, Panarottis Pizza Pasta, John Dory's Fish Grill Sushi, The Hussar Grill, RocoMamas, Casa Bella, Nikos, Doppio Zero, Modern Tailor, and Piza e Vino brands, fast casual brand, RocoMamas and three bespoke speciality dining brands, The Hussar Grill, Casa Bella, Nikos Coalgrill Greek, Doppio Zero, Modern Tailors; Virtual Kitchen brands includes Just Wingz (Spur Steak Ranches), Pizza Pug, Bento, Reel Sushi, Rib Shack RocoFellas, and CharGrill Chicken. It is also involved in sauce manufacturing, warehousing, product distribution, training, export, décor manufacturing, and call center businesses. In addition, it operates retail company stores, as well as provides marketing services. The company was founded in 1967 and is based in Cape Town, South Africa.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Spur Corporation reported revenue of R3.9B in FY2025 versus R681M in FY2021, a compound +54.3%/yr. Reported net income was R273M in FY2025, compounding +31.1%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +54.3%/yr
FY21 R681M
FY22 R2.4B
FY23 R3.0B
FY24 R3.5B
FY25 R3.9B
Net income +31.1%/yr
FY21 R92.6M
FY22 R121M
FY23 R212M
FY24 R234M
FY25 R273M

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6 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

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Compass Group CMPGF $32.59 $24.90 -24%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMGS C$12.49 C$9.29 -26%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $151.08 $91.11 -40%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $71.85 $42.93 -40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Spur Corporation (SUR) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R64.21 versus a price of R40.41 — about +59% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SUR?
Our 21-model fair value for Spur Corporation is R64.21 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R40.41.
What is the quality score of SUR?
Spur Corporation has a Quality Score of 93/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Spur Corporation (SUR)?
Spur Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.0B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SUR?
The net profit margin of Spur Corporation is about 7.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Spur Corporation pay a dividend?
Spur Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.