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Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Savannah Energy PLC $0.01, price $0.01, upside +67.7%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · US · ISIN GB00BP41S218

SE Savannah Energy PLC logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Savannah Energy PLC

SVNNF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $0.0084 · Strongly undervalued (+67.7%)
!Quality 44/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +9.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 49.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 70/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.5100 $0.0002 Fair Value $0.0084 Aug 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0002 – $0.5100 · fair‑value band $0.0068 – $0.0102 · the $0.0050 price screens below the $0.0084 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Savannah Energy PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, extraction, and production of natural gas and crude oil in Africa.

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Savannah Energy PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, extraction, and production of natural gas and crude oil in Africa. Its flagship projects are the Parc Eolien de la Tarka project, a 250 MW wind farm located in the Tahoua Region of southern Niger; and the Bujagali project, a 255 MW hydropower plant located in Uganda. The company is also involved in power generation through solar, thermal, and other energy-related projects; service, investment, financing company; renewables; employee benefit trust; and gas marketing, processing, and distribution. It operates in Nigeria, Cameroon, and Niger. The company was formerly known as Savannah Petroleum Plc and changed its name to Savannah Energy PLC in April 2020. Savannah Energy PLC was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF) currently trades at $0.0050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0084, implying the stock looks roughly 40.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 24 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Scenario range: $0.0068 (bear) to $0.0102 (bull), the price of $0.0050 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Savannah Energy PLC reported revenue of $224M in FY2023 versus $17.8M in FY2019, a compound +88.5%/yr. Reported net income was $14.9M in FY2023.

Key figures

Market cap $125M · P/E ratio 0.8 · P/S ratio 0.05 · EPS (TTM) $0.0800 · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 35.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4% · Operating margin 33.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 98% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 68%, SVNNF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0068 Fair Value $0.0084 Bull $0.0102
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.4900 $0.7200 $1.38 75
EPV $0.3800 $0.4400 $0.4800 74
Growth DCF $0.4500 $0.7800 $1.29 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.4900 $0.7200 $1.38 75
Owner Earnings $0.5600 $1.18 $2.26 70
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1800 $0.2800 $0.4800 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.3800 $0.6900 $1.27 69
5Y P/E Exit $0.1700 $0.3200 $0.4900 67
10Y Revenue Exit $0.2900 $0.5300 $0.6100 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.4200 $0.8900 $1.67 62
10Y P/E Exit $0.2900 $0.5000 $0.7900 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0500 $0.3400 $0.4700 61
Lynch FV $0.1700 $0.2500 $0.3200 59
PEG = 1.0 $0.1700 $0.2500 $0.3200 55
EPV $0.3800 $0.4400 $0.4800 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.0700 $0.1000 $0.1200 63
P/S Multiple $0.0900 $0.1200 $0.1500 58
P/B Multiple $0.0900 $0.1200 $0.1500 55
EV/EBIT $0.4600 $0.6400 $0.8200 66
EV/EBITDA $0.3300 $0.4600 $0.6000 67
EV/Revenue $0.0100 $0.0500 $0.0900 48
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.1300 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.4500 $0.7800 $1.29 74
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2100 $0.3400 $0.6100 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.0900 $0.0900 $0.0900 68
ROIC Compounder $0.5000 $0.7300 $0.9700 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.2000 $0.2900 $0.3800 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 38
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−41.3% (2019) → 66.8% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.23 $243.76 +32%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.48 A$23.87 −24%
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Savannah Energy PLC · Fair Value
$0.0084 +40%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Savannah Energy PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SVNNF

Frequently asked questions

Is Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0084 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0050, about +68% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SVNNF?
Our model-based fair value for Savannah Energy PLC is $0.0084 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.0050.
What is the quality score of SVNNF?
Savannah Energy PLC has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0084 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0068, optimistic scenario $0.0102. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Savannah Energy PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0084, about +68% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0050 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.0068, optimistic scenario $0.0102. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
Savannah Energy PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $238M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Savannah Energy PLC it is $0.0084 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0050. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Savannah Energy PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SVNNF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0050, fair value $0.0084, a gap of about +68% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SVNNF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0084). For Savannah Energy PLC the two are $0.0034 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Savannah Energy PLC worth?
The market values Savannah Energy PLC at about $125M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0050; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0084 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SVNNF?
Our models span a range for Savannah Energy PLC: cautious scenario $0.0068, base $0.0084, optimistic $0.0102 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0050). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is SVNNF from its 52-week high?
Savannah Energy PLC trades at $0.0050, about 98% below its 52-week high of $0.2500 and at the low of $0.0050 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0084 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Savannah Energy PLC?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Savannah Energy PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0050, calculated fair value $0.0084 (+68%), Quality Score 44/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SVNNF calculated?
We run Savannah Energy PLC through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0084, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Savannah Energy PLC currently trades 40 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.0050. Our model-based fair value is $0.0084, about +68% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Savannah Energy PLC right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0068). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Key figures of Savannah Energy PLC

How large is the market capitalisation of Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
The market capitalisation of Savannah Energy PLC is $125M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Savannah Energy PLC is 0.8 (as of Jun 24, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Savannah Energy PLC is 0.05 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
Earnings per share at Savannah Energy PLC are $0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
The net margin of Savannah Energy PLC is 6.6% (fiscal year 2023). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Savannah Energy PLC is 35.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Savannah Energy PLC is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
The operating margin of Savannah Energy PLC is 33.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
Revenue at Savannah Energy PLC is growing +9.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF)?
Earnings per share at Savannah Energy PLC are growing +450% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF) generate?
The free cash flow of Savannah Energy PLC is $20.3M (fiscal year 2023). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Savannah Energy PLC (SVNNF) carry?
The net debt of Savannah Energy PLC is $533M (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 26.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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