TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. ₹6.42, price ₹38.47, upside -83.3%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹10.21 – ₹54.77 · fair‑value band ₹3.24 – ₹9.96 · the ₹38.47 price screens above the ₹6.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC) currently trades at ₹38.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹6.42, 83.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹28.46 per share, and 10 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹38.47 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ₹2.04, and 14 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹3.24 (bear) to ₹9.96 (bull), the price of ₹38.47 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality).
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
TITAN SECURITIES LTD. reported revenue of ₹59.6M in FY2026 versus ₹70.6M in FY2022, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹125M in FY2026, compounding −6.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹962M (≈ $10.0M) · P/E ratio 6.8 · P/S ratio 14.1 · EPS (TTM) ₹5.69 · Net margin 255% · Return on equity 12.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% · Operating margin −5.9%.
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹1.76 to ₹236.12). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹3.24Fair Value ₹6.42Bull ₹9.96
Price ₹38.47 · Upside -83.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹2.92 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−42.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−33.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+4.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 20%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 31.7%/yr over ~5Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹6.42 versus a price of ₹38.47, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TITANSEC?
Our model-based fair value for TITAN SECURITIES LTD. is ₹6.42 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹38.47.
What is the quality score of TITANSEC?
TITAN SECURITIES LTD. has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹6.42 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹3.24, optimistic scenario ₹9.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TITAN SECURITIES LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹6.42, about −83% upside versus a price of ₹38.47 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹3.24, optimistic scenario ₹9.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
TITAN SECURITIES LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹55.9M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TITAN SECURITIES LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -33.9 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TITANSEC use?
Our models discount TITAN SECURITIES LTD. at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TITAN SECURITIES LTD. that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TITAN SECURITIES LTD. grew -33.9 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.13 %: that much free cash flow TITAN SECURITIES LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TITAN SECURITIES LTD. it is ₹6.42 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of ₹38.47. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TITAN SECURITIES LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, TITANSEC trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹38.47, fair value ₹6.42, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TITANSEC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹38.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹6.42). For TITAN SECURITIES LTD. the two are ₹32.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TITAN SECURITIES LTD. worth?
The market values TITAN SECURITIES LTD. at about ₹962M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is ₹38.47; our models calculate a fair value of ₹6.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TITANSEC?
Our models span a range for TITAN SECURITIES LTD.: cautious scenario ₹3.24, base ₹6.42, optimistic ₹9.96 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price ₹38.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is TITANSEC from its 52-week high?
TITAN SECURITIES LTD. trades at ₹38.47, about 30% below its 52-week high of ₹54.77 and 12% above the low of ₹34.46 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹6.42 is for.
Is TITAN SECURITIES LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price ₹38.47, calculated fair value ₹6.42 (−83%), Quality Score 55/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TITANSEC calculated?
We run TITAN SECURITIES LTD. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹6.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. TITAN SECURITIES LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹38.47. Our model-based fair value is ₹6.42, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TITAN SECURITIES LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹9.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (₹3.24 to ₹9.96). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of TITAN SECURITIES LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
The market capitalisation of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. is ₹962M (≈ $10.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. is 6.8. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. is 14.1 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
Earnings per share at TITAN SECURITIES LTD. are ₹5.69 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
The net margin of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. is 255% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. is 12.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
The operating margin of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. is −5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
Revenue at TITAN SECURITIES LTD. is growing −39.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC)?
Earnings per share at TITAN SECURITIES LTD. are growing +64.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does TITAN SECURITIES LTD. (TITANSEC) carry?
The net debt of TITAN SECURITIES LTD. is ₹17.9M (fiscal year 2022, ≈ 13.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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