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Tethys Petroleum Limited (TPL) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CA · Market cap C$136M

TP Tethys Petroleum Limited TPL · V
PriceC$1.06
Fair ValueC$0.7100
Upside-33.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range C$0.3900 – C$1.17

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from C$0.9100 to C$0.7100 (−22.0%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −8.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

C$1.84 C$0.7835 Fair Value C$0.7100 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range C$0.7835 – C$1.84 · fair‑value band C$0.3900 – C$1.17 · the C$1.06 price screens above the C$0.7100 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Tethys Petroleum Limited (TPL) currently trades at C$1.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.7100 — implying the stock looks roughly 33.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tethys Petroleum Limited generated revenue of C$30.5M at a net margin of 27.5%. Revenue grew 104.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$12.0M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$30.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) +104%
Net margin 27.5%
Return on equity 29.0%
Free cash flow C$2.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.7
More key figures
Operating margin 30.3%
EPS (TTM) C$0.1100
EPS growth (YoY) +628%
Net cash C$12.0M FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Tethys Petroleum Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of crude oil and natural gas fields in Kazakhstan. It also produces and sells crude oil and natural gas. The company was formerly known as Tethys Petroleum Investments Limited and changed its name to Tethys Petroleum Limited in September 2006. Tethys Petroleum Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Grand Cayman, the Cayman Islands.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tethys Petroleum Limited reported revenue of C$26.4M in FY2025 versus C$15.9M in FY2021, a compound +13.5%/yr. Reported net income was C$6.7M in FY2025.

Revenue +13.5%/yr
FY21 C$15.9M
FY22 C$65.5M
FY23 C$36.5M
FY24 C$15.2M
FY25 C$26.4M
Net income
FY21 −C$4.0M
FY22 C$12.3M
FY23 C$9.7M
FY24 −C$12.4M
FY25 C$6.7M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tethys Petroleum Limited (TPL) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.7100 versus a price of C$1.06 — about −33% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TPL?
Our 21-model fair value for Tethys Petroleum Limited is C$0.7100 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$1.06.
What is the quality score of TPL?
Tethys Petroleum Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Tethys Petroleum Limited (TPL)?
Tethys Petroleum Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$30.5M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TPL?
The net profit margin of Tethys Petroleum Limited is about 27.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.