Trifork Group (TRIFOR) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · DK · Market cap 2.0B DKK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from kr 10.62 to kr 78.00 (+634.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +12.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 98.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 70.20 – kr 260.22 · fair‑value band kr 57.17 – kr 98.82 · the kr 114.50 price screens above the kr 78.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Trifork Group (TRIFOR) currently trades at kr 114.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 78.00, implying the stock looks roughly 31.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Trifork Group generated revenue of 220M DKK at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at 102M DKK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 57.17 (bear case) to kr 98.82 (bull case); at kr 114.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -32%, TRIFOR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 20.36) versus Dividend Discount (kr 1.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Trifork Group AG provides information technology and other business services in Switzerland, Denmark, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through the Products, Services, and Labs segments. Its Products segment develops software, as well as operates IT systems, including conferences.
Full company description
Trifork Group AG provides information technology and other business services in Switzerland, Denmark, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through the Products, Services, and Labs segments. Its Products segment develops software, as well as operates IT systems, including conferences. The Services segment develops software for private and public customers. Its Labs segment focuses on investments in tech startup companies. The company was formerly known as Trifork Holding AG and changed its name to Trifork Group AG in April 2024. Trifork Group AG was founded in 1996 and is based in Schindellegi, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Trifork Group reported revenue of kr 221M in FY2025 versus kr 159M in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was kr 10.3M in FY2025, compounding −23.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +16.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TRIFOR screens 32% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 477 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.92 | $143.90 | -39% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 250.95 MXN | -90% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,204 | ₹1,230 | +2% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹178.43 | ₹226.81 | +27% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,455 | ₹1,086 | -25% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 199,300 KRW | 196,390 KRW | -1% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,059 | ₹2,364 | -53% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 393,000 KRW | 133,088 KRW | -66% |
| Coforge Limited COFORGE | ₹1,541 | ₹702.84 | -54% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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