TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of TRITON CORP.LTD. ₹0.25, price ₹1.66, upside -85.2%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹0.1900 – ₹3.47 · fair‑value band ₹0.1870 – ₹0.3230 · the ₹1.66 price screens above the ₹0.2465 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON) currently trades at ₹1.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹0.2465, 85.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ₹0.5000 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹1.66 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ₹0.2400, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹0.1870 (bear) to ₹0.3230 (bull), the price of ₹1.66 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality).
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
TRITON CORP.LTD. reported revenue of ₹153M in FY2025 versus ₹3.2B in FY2021, a compound −53.3%/yr. Reported net income was −₹237K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹414M (≈ $4.3M) · P/E ratio 20.8 · P/S ratio 4.44 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.0800 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin −0.2% · Return on equity 182% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹0.0100 to ₹0.6600). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹0.1870Fair Value ₹0.2465Bull ₹0.3230
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.0605 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−96.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−65.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−41.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.3% (2020) → 4.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+45.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +39.2% a year for the price.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TRITON CORP.LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRITON
Frequently asked questions
Is TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹0.2465 versus a price of ₹1.66, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRITON?
Our model-based fair value for TRITON CORP.LTD. is ₹0.2465 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1.66.
What is the quality score of TRITON?
TRITON CORP.LTD. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹0.2465 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹0.1870, optimistic scenario ₹0.3230. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TRITON CORP.LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹0.2465, about −85% upside versus a price of ₹1.66 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹0.1870, optimistic scenario ₹0.3230. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
TRITON CORP.LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹93.3M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does TRITON CORP.LTD. pay a dividend?
TRITON CORP.LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.51% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TRITON CORP.LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by +45.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -41.8 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TRITON use?
Our models discount TRITON CORP.LTD. at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TRITON CORP.LTD. that is +45.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TRITON CORP.LTD. grew -41.8 % a year. The price currently implies +45.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.01 %: that much free cash flow TRITON CORP.LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TRITON CORP.LTD. it is ₹0.2465 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹1.66. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TRITON CORP.LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, TRITON trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1.66, fair value ₹0.2465, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TRITON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹0.2465). For TRITON CORP.LTD. the two are ₹1.41 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TRITON CORP.LTD. worth?
The market values TRITON CORP.LTD. at about ₹414M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹1.66; our models calculate a fair value of ₹0.2465 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRITON?
Our models span a range for TRITON CORP.LTD.: cautious scenario ₹0.1870, base ₹0.2465, optimistic ₹0.3230 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹1.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is TRITON from its 52-week high?
TRITON CORP.LTD. trades at ₹1.66, about 52% below its 52-week high of ₹3.47 and 63% above the low of ₹1.02 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹0.2465 is for.
Is TRITON CORP.LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹1.66, calculated fair value ₹0.2465 (−85%), Quality Score 39/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TRITON calculated?
We run TRITON CORP.LTD. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹0.2465, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. TRITON CORP.LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹1.66. Our model-based fair value is ₹0.2465, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TRITON CORP.LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹0.3230). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of TRITON CORP.LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
The market capitalisation of TRITON CORP.LTD. is ₹414M (≈ $4.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of TRITON CORP.LTD. is 20.8. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TRITON CORP.LTD. is 4.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
Earnings per share at TRITON CORP.LTD. are ₹0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
The dividend yield of TRITON CORP.LTD. is 2.5% (payout 52.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
The net margin of TRITON CORP.LTD. is −0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TRITON CORP.LTD. is 182% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TRITON CORP.LTD. is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON)?
The operating margin of TRITON CORP.LTD. is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much net debt does TRITON CORP.LTD. (TRITON) carry?
The net debt of TRITON CORP.LTD. is ₹25.0M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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