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TechTarget, Inc (TTGT) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $276M

TI TechTarget, Inc logo TechTarget, Inc TTGT · US
Price$3.82
Fair Value$1.89
Upside-50.5%
Quality35/100
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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 51% ABOVE our fair value of $1.89
!Mixed Growth
!Loss-making · -36.9% net margin
!Trails peers (3/14)
Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -36.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.03 – $2.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated today

Share price +6.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($1.03 to $2.75). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$110.50 $3.40 Fair Value $1.89 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.40 – $110.50 · fair‑value band $1.03 – $2.75 · the $3.82 price screens above the $1.89 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

TechTarget, Inc (TTGT) currently trades at $3.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.89, implying the stock looks roughly 50.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $489M. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -70.3%. Net debt stands at $70.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.03 (bear case) to $2.75 (bull case); at $3.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -51%, TTGT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.17 $2.38 $4.05 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.12 $2.60 $4.57 74
Gordon GGM $0.0300 $0.0600 $0.0700 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.23 $2.67 $4.85 38
5Y Revenue Exit $1.12 $2.63 $4.71 39
10Y Revenue Exit $1.07 $2.41 $4.50 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0300 $0.0600 $0.0700 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0300 $0.0500 $0.0600 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue $1.09 $1.95 $2.81 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.11 $5.51 $8.22 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.17 $2.38 $4.05 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.12 $2.60 $4.57 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($5.51) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $489M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.1%
Net margin -114%
Return on equity -70.3%
Free cash flow $16.0M FY2025
Operating margin -19.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-7.72
EPS growth (YoY) -51.8%
Net debt $70.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 36
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TechTarget, Inc. provides sales and support of purchase intent-driven advertising campaigns in North America, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

Full company description

TechTarget, Inc. provides sales and support of purchase intent-driven advertising campaigns in North America, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers intelligence and advisory solutions, such as research and intelligence services to technology providers based on analysis and data-driven intelligence and reports under the Omdia brand; and advisory services based on its sector-specialist analysts and data-driven market intelligence. It also provides brand and content solutions, including editorial, data-driven brand products, and content marketing services for brand marketers, product marketers, and content marketers; Activity Intelligence platform, which enables segmentation and behavioral targeting of audiences; and Industry Dive portfolio of brands, which deliver business journalism in a range of specialist end markets. In addition, the company offers on-network banner advertising and digital sponsorships, off-network banner targeting, and email marketing; and conceives, designs and develops, and produces original content in the form of white papers, infographics, case studies, videos, webinars, and microsites. Further, it provides BrightTALK, which allows customers to create and host webinars, virtual events, and video content; buyer intent products and demand generation services for demand marketers, field marketing, and sales teams; Informa TechTarget Portal, an intent data solution; IntentMail AI, an AI-powered messaging feature, which enables sellers to automatically generate personalized email copy; Qualified Sales Opportunities, which profile specific in-progress purchase projects via surveys and interviews; and unified demand solutions through content marketing programs comprising white papers, webcasts, podcasts, videocasts, virtual trade shows, and editorial sponsorships. TechTarget, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Newton, Massachusetts. TechTarget, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Informa plc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TechTarget, Inc reported revenue of $487M in FY2025 versus $263M in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.0B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$487M
Latest YoY
+70.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+35.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.8%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.5%
Revenue +16.6%/yr
FY21 $263M
FY22 $197M
FY23 $230M
FY24 $285M
FY25 $487M
Net income
FY21 $949K
FY22 −$4.3M
FY23 $4.5K
FY24 −$117M
FY25 −$1.0B

TTGT screens 51% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TechTarget, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TTGT

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 490 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −51% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -37% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.46× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 17.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.59× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 34
FUTURE0 · sector 29
PAST0 · sector 35
HEALTH91 · sector 97
DIVIDEND3 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.98 $175.76 -26%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,302 ₹3,473 +51%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,115 ₹2,006 +80%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,365 ₹1,722 +26%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹183.94 ₹314.26 +71%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,625 ₹1,521 -6%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 235,500 KRW 235,321 KRW -0%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,649 ₹3,231 -43%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,815 ₹983.97 -46%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 433,000 KRW 186,323 KRW -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TechTarget, Inc (TTGT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.89 versus a price of $3.82, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TTGT?
Our model-based fair value for TechTarget, Inc is $1.89 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.82.
What is the quality score of TTGT?
TechTarget, Inc has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TechTarget, Inc (TTGT)?
TechTarget, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $489M (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TTGT?
The net profit margin of TechTarget, Inc is about -113.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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