United Parcel Service, Inc (UPS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $93.7B
United Parcel Service, Inc
UPS · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +1.6% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $75.29 – $111.31 · fair‑value band $58.05 – $164.93 · the $105.83 price screens above the $104.49 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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United Parcel Service, Inc (UPS) currently trades at $105.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $104.49 — implying the stock looks roughly 1.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, United Parcel Service, Inc generated revenue of $88.3B at a net margin of 5.9%. Revenue declined 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 33.4%. Net debt stands at $26.4B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services. The International Package segment provides small package operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America, and Asia. The company offers a range of guaranteed day- and time-definite international transportation services; day-definite services; cross-border ground package delivery; contract-only, e-commerce solutions for non-urgent, and cross-border shipments; and international service for urgent and palletized shipments. It also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, customs brokerage and insurance, mail services, healthcare logistics, distribution, and …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
United Parcel Service, Inc reported revenue of $88.7B in FY2025 versus $97.2B in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was $5.6B in FY2025, compounding −18.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- United Parcel Service (UPS) Invests $48M in Cold-Chain Freight Facilities
- 1 in 8 Americans now take GLP-1 drugs — UPS is investing $48 million to keep them cold
- Pitney Bowes' Cash Flow Surge: A Lasting Turnaround Story?
- United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
6 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| FedEx Corporation FDX | €350.80 | €117.60 | -66% |
| Deutsche Post AG DPSTF | $60.85 | $74.58 | +23% |
| DSV DSV | kr 1,540 | kr 1,188 | -23% |
| DSDVF DSDVF | $233.10 | $107.85 | -54% |
| DSDVY DSDVY | $116.93 | $102.87 | -12% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KHNGF | $220.99 | $189.36 | -14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.