US Gold Corp (USAU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of US Gold Corp $2.53, price $14.47, upside -82.5%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.03 – $22.60 · fair‑value band $2.37 – $2.77 · the $14.47 price screens above the $2.53 fair value. 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
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U.S. Gold Corp. engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in the United States. It explores for gold, silver, copper, and precious metals deposits.
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U.S. Gold Corp. engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in the United States. It explores for gold, silver, copper, and precious metals deposits. The company holds 100% interests in the CK gold project, which consists of various mining leases and other mineral rights covering an area of approximately 1,120 acres located in Laramie County, Wyoming; the Keystone project that consists of 601 unpatented lode mining claims covering an area of approximately 20 square miles located in Eureka County, Nevada; and the Challis gold project, which consists of 77 unpatented lode mining claims covering an area of approximately 1,710 acres located in Lemhi County, Idaho. It also holds a royalty potential of 0.5% in the Maggie Creek project located in Nevada. U.S. Gold Corp. was founded in 2014 and is based in Elko, Nevada.
Stock analysis
US Gold Corp (USAU) currently trades at $14.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.53, 82.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $2.37 (bear) to $2.77 (bull), the price of $14.47 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
US Gold Corp reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$20.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $242M · EPS (TTM) $−1.47 · Return on equity −56.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −43.4% · Free cash flow −$9.9M · Net cash $8.1M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −83%, USAU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.37Fair Value $2.53Bull $2.77
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−56.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−41.9%
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7.6% (2014) → −376.6% (2019)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 232 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Below median
Fair Value upside−82.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−25.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
P/B20.86× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 21
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.53 versus a price of $14.47, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of USAU?
Our model-based fair value for US Gold Corp is $2.53 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $14.47.
What is the quality score of USAU?
US Gold Corp has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for US Gold Corp (USAU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.53 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.37, optimistic scenario $2.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the US Gold Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.53, about −83% upside versus a price of $14.47 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.37, optimistic scenario $2.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of US Gold Corp (USAU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For US Gold Corp it is $2.53 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $14.47. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is US Gold Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, USAU trades above its calculated fair value: price $14.47, fair value $2.53, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of USAU?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($14.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.53). For US Gold Corp the two are $11.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is US Gold Corp worth?
The market values US Gold Corp at about $242M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $14.47; our models calculate a fair value of $2.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about USAU?
Our models span a range for US Gold Corp: cautious scenario $2.37, base $2.53, optimistic $2.77 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $14.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of US Gold Corp (USAU)?
Balance-sheet figures for US Gold Corp (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −56.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is USAU from its 52-week high?
US Gold Corp trades at $14.47, about 36% below its 52-week high of $22.60 and 14% above the low of $12.65 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to US Gold Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is US Gold Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $14.47, calculated fair value $2.53 (−83%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of USAU calculated?
We run US Gold Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. US Gold Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of US Gold Corp (USAU)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $14.47. Our model-based fair value is $2.53, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with US Gold Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of US Gold Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of US Gold Corp (USAU)?
The market capitalisation of US Gold Corp is $242M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of US Gold Corp (USAU)?
Earnings per share at US Gold Corp are $−1.47. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of US Gold Corp (USAU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of US Gold Corp is −56.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of US Gold Corp (USAU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of US Gold Corp is −43.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does US Gold Corp (USAU) generate?
The free cash flow of US Gold Corp is −$9.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does US Gold Corp (USAU) hold?
US Gold Corp holds more cash than debt, $8.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 13, 2026