United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of United Arrows Ltd. $11.33, price $8.66, upside +30.8%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
41‑month range $7.14 – $8.66 · fair‑value band $7.93 – $14.73 · the $8.66 price screens below the $11.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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United Arrows Ltd. engages in the planning, buying, and sale of men's and women's apparel, accessories, and other products in Japan.
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United Arrows Ltd. engages in the planning, buying, and sale of men's and women's apparel, accessories, and other products in Japan. The company operates under store brands, such as UNITED ARROWS, BEAUTY&YOUTH UNITED ARROWS, UNITED ARROWS green label relaxing, DRAWER, ASTRAET, UNITED ARROWS & SONS, 6, steven alan, monkey time, ODETTE E ODILE, ATTISESSION, CITEN, NICE WEATHER, California General Store, UNITED ARROWS Golf, and OSOI brands. It also offers products under LOEFF, Pheeta, AEWEN MATOPH, SOVEREIGN, EMMEL REFINES, PREEK, MARW, SY, TO, Lepidos, TABAYA, UNITED ARROWS BEAUTY, koti BEAUTY&YOUTH, and District UNITED ARROWS labels, as well as UNITED ARROWS outlets. United Arrows Ltd. was incorporated in 1975 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY) currently trades at $8.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.33, implying the stock looks roughly 23.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $17.33 per share, and 10 of the 15 models we run sit above the $8.66 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.01, and 5 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $7.93 (bear) to $14.73 (bull), the price of $8.66 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
United Arrows Ltd. reported revenue of ¥165B in FY2026 versus ¥118B in FY2022, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥6.1B in FY2026, compounding +70.0%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $480M · P/E ratio 14.7 · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) $0.5900 · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 15.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7% · Operating margin 0.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades near its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 31%, UTDAY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.93Fair Value $11.33Bull $14.73
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2861 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+53.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+53.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−5% → 6%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 103 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Above median
Fair Value upside+31% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15% · Above median
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
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Is United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.33 versus a price of $8.66, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of UTDAY?
Our model-based fair value for United Arrows Ltd. is $11.33 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.66.
What is the quality score of UTDAY?
United Arrows Ltd. has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $11.33 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.93, optimistic scenario $14.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the United Arrows Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $11.33, about +31% upside versus a price of $8.66 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $7.93, optimistic scenario $14.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
United Arrows Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥165B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For United Arrows Ltd. it is $11.33 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $8.66. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is United Arrows Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, UTDAY trades below its calculated fair value: price $8.66, fair value $11.33, a gap of about +31% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UTDAY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($11.33). For United Arrows Ltd. the two are $2.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is United Arrows Ltd. worth?
The market values United Arrows Ltd. at about $480M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $8.66; our models calculate a fair value of $11.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UTDAY?
Our models span a range for United Arrows Ltd.: cautious scenario $7.93, base $11.33, optimistic $14.73 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $8.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of UTDAY?
United Arrows Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $11.33 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 5.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
Balance-sheet figures for United Arrows Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 15.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UTDAY from its 52-week high?
United Arrows Ltd. trades at $8.66, about 0% below its 52-week high of $8.66 and 54% above the low of $5.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $11.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to United Arrows Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, The TJX Companies, Inc, Fast Retailing Co, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is United Arrows Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $8.66, calculated fair value $11.33 (+31%), Quality Score 65/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UTDAY calculated?
We run United Arrows Ltd. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $11.33, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. United Arrows Ltd. currently trades 31 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $8.66. Our model-based fair value is $11.33, about +31% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with United Arrows Ltd. right now?
Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($7.93 to $14.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of United Arrows Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
The market capitalisation of United Arrows Ltd. is $480M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of United Arrows Ltd. is 0.55 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
Earnings per share at United Arrows Ltd. are $0.5900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
The net margin of United Arrows Ltd. is 3.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of United Arrows Ltd. is 15.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of United Arrows Ltd. is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
The operating margin of United Arrows Ltd. is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
Revenue at United Arrows Ltd. is growing +8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY)?
Earnings per share at United Arrows Ltd. are growing −17.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY) generate?
The free cash flow of United Arrows Ltd. is −¥621M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does United Arrows Ltd. (UTDAY) carry?
The net debt of United Arrows Ltd. is ¥2.2B (fiscal year 2022). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026