VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of VEDANTA POWER LTD ₹23.59, price ₹32.80, upside -28.1%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
4‑month range ₹30.80 – ₹48.60 · fair‑value band ₹10.01 – ₹46.86 · the ₹32.80 price screens above the ₹23.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 2, 2026.
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VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER) currently trades at ₹32.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹23.59, 28.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹36.66 per share, and 5 of the 11 models we run sit above the ₹32.80 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ₹17.65, and 6 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹10.01 (bear) to ₹46.86 (bull), the price of ₹32.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality).
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
VEDANTA POWER LTD reported revenue of ₹88.9B in FY2026 versus ₹57.5B in FY2023, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was −₹16.9B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹128B (≈ $1.3B) · P/S ratio 2.45 · EPS (TTM) ₹−5.62 · Net margin −19.0% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% · Operating margin 2.5% · Revenue (TTM) ₹52.2B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
Fair Value models
Bear ₹10.01Fair Value ₹23.59Bull ₹46.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+47.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.7%
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +30.4% a year for the price.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VEDANTA POWER LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VEDPOWER
Frequently asked questions
Is VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹23.59 versus a price of ₹32.80, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VEDPOWER?
Our model-based fair value for VEDANTA POWER LTD is ₹23.59 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹32.80.
What is the quality score of VEDPOWER?
VEDANTA POWER LTD has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹23.59 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹10.01, optimistic scenario ₹46.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the VEDANTA POWER LTD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹23.59, about −28% upside versus a price of ₹32.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹10.01, optimistic scenario ₹46.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
VEDANTA POWER LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹52.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, VEDANTA POWER LTD would have to grow free cash flow by +35.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +15.7 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VEDPOWER use?
Our models discount VEDANTA POWER LTD at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For VEDANTA POWER LTD that is +35.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at VEDANTA POWER LTD grew +15.7 % a year. The price currently implies +35.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.73 %: that much free cash flow VEDANTA POWER LTD produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For VEDANTA POWER LTD it is ₹23.59 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹32.80. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is VEDANTA POWER LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, VEDPOWER trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹32.80, fair value ₹23.59, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VEDPOWER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹32.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹23.59). For VEDANTA POWER LTD the two are ₹9.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is VEDANTA POWER LTD worth?
The market values VEDANTA POWER LTD at about ₹128B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹32.80; our models calculate a fair value of ₹23.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VEDPOWER?
Our models span a range for VEDANTA POWER LTD: cautious scenario ₹10.01, base ₹23.59, optimistic ₹46.86 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹32.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
Is VEDANTA POWER LTD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹32.80, calculated fair value ₹23.59 (−28%), Quality Score 40/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VEDPOWER calculated?
We run VEDANTA POWER LTD through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹23.59, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1 % above its aggregate fair value. VEDANTA POWER LTD itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹32.80. Our model-based fair value is ₹23.59, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with VEDANTA POWER LTD right now?
Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (₹10.01 to ₹46.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of VEDANTA POWER LTD
How large is the market capitalisation of VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
The market capitalisation of VEDANTA POWER LTD is ₹128B (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of VEDANTA POWER LTD is 2.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
Earnings per share at VEDANTA POWER LTD are ₹−5.62. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
The net margin of VEDANTA POWER LTD is −19.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of VEDANTA POWER LTD is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of VEDANTA POWER LTD is 3.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
The operating margin of VEDANTA POWER LTD is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER)?
Revenue at VEDANTA POWER LTD is growing +31.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does VEDANTA POWER LTD (VEDPOWER) carry?
The net debt of VEDANTA POWER LTD is ₹85.8B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 18.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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