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Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $280M

Price$1.92
Fair Value$0.3100
Upside-83.9%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.2300 – $0.3900

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

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Analysis

Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) currently trades at $1.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3100 — implying the stock looks roughly 83.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Vista Gold Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a development-stage company in the gold mining industry. Its flagship asset is the 100% owned Mt Todd gold project located in the Northern Territory, Australia. The company was formerly known as Granges, Inc. and changed its name to Vista Gold Corp. in November 1996. Vista Gold Corp. was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Englewood, Colorado.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3100 versus a price of $1.92 — about −84% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of VGZ?
Our 21-model fair value for Vista Gold Corp is $0.3100 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.92.
What is the quality score of VGZ?
Vista Gold Corp has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.