Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Vivendi SA PK $0.93, price $1.56, upside -40.4%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.56 – $37.30 · fair‑value band $0.8400 – $1.11 · the $1.56 price screens above the $0.9300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Vivendi SE operates in the content, media, and entertainment industries in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa.
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Vivendi SE operates in the content, media, and entertainment industries in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. The company creates and publishes video games for various digital devices, including mobile, PC, and consoles; and engages in the recorded music, music publishing, music-based merchandise, and audio-visual content businesses. It also provides online sports betting services; and media and education content in the Spanish and Spanish speaking markets, as well as creates, develops, sells, produces, and distributes content. In addition, the company is involved in publishing, media, and travel retail; commercial television broadcasting; and television, audiovisual production, and internet activities. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Stock analysis
Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY) currently trades at $1.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9300, 40.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $3.56 per share, and 3 of the 18 models we run sit above the $1.56 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1800, and 15 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.8400 (bear) to $1.11 (bull), the price of $1.56 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Vivendi SA PK reported revenue of €295M in FY2025 versus €8.7B in FY2021, a compound −57.1%/yr. Reported net income was €19.2M in FY2025, compounding −83.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.4B · P/E ratio 78.0 · P/S ratio 5.08 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at −40%, VIVHY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.8400Fair Value $0.9300Bull $1.11
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−68.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−49.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −30.2% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−54.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−56.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−56.8% vs −34.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → −34%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 28.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+52.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +49.3% a year for the price and +0.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 138 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vivendi SA PK Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VIVHY
Frequently asked questions
Is Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9300 versus a price of $1.56, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VIVHY?
Our model-based fair value for Vivendi SA PK is $0.9300 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.56.
What is the quality score of VIVHY?
Vivendi SA PK has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.9300 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8400, optimistic scenario $1.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vivendi SA PK stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.9300, about −40% upside versus a price of $1.56 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.8400, optimistic scenario $1.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
Vivendi SA PK reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $307M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Vivendi SA PK pay a dividend?
Vivendi SA PK currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.56% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Vivendi SA PK would have to grow free cash flow by +52.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -49.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VIVHY use?
Our models discount Vivendi SA PK at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.25, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Vivendi SA PK that is +52.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Vivendi SA PK grew -49.1 % a year. The price currently implies +52.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Vivendi SA PK (+52.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.11 %: that much free cash flow Vivendi SA PK produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vivendi SA PK it is $0.9300 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.56. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vivendi SA PK stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, VIVHY trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.56, fair value $0.9300, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VIVHY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.56); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.9300). For Vivendi SA PK the two are $0.6300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vivendi SA PK worth?
The market values Vivendi SA PK at about $2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.56; our models calculate a fair value of $0.9300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VIVHY?
Our models span a range for Vivendi SA PK: cautious scenario $0.8400, base $0.9300, optimistic $1.11 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.56). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VIVHY?
Vivendi SA PK trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 78.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.9300 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 0.5, P/S 7.8.
What is the PEG ratio of VIVHY?
The PEG ratio of Vivendi SA PK is 1.63 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vivendi SA PK (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VIVHY from its 52-week high?
Vivendi SA PK trades at $1.56, about 56% below its 52-week high of $3.57 and at the low of $1.56 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.9300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vivendi SA PK?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, Zhejiang Century Huatong Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vivendi SA PK stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.56, calculated fair value $0.9300 (−40%), Quality Score 53/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VIVHY calculated?
We run Vivendi SA PK through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.9300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Vivendi SA PK itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.56. Our model-based fair value is $0.9300, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vivendi SA PK right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Vivendi SA PK
How large is the market capitalisation of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
The market capitalisation of Vivendi SA PK is $2.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vivendi SA PK is 5.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
Earnings per share at Vivendi SA PK are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 78.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
The dividend yield of Vivendi SA PK is 2.6% (payout 200%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
The net margin of Vivendi SA PK is 6.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vivendi SA PK is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vivendi SA PK is 0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
The operating margin of Vivendi SA PK is −36.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
Revenue at Vivendi SA PK is growing +8.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −68.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY)?
Earnings per share at Vivendi SA PK are growing −80.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Vivendi SA PK (VIVHY) carry?
The net debt of Vivendi SA PK is $1.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 68.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026