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NetEase, Inc (NTES) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $80.6B

NI NetEase, Inc logo NetEase, Inc NTES · US
Price$130.36
Fair Value$171.10
Upside+31.3%
Quality73/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 29.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.40% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Wide moat 84/100
Evidence: High Range $128.32 – $294.64 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $170.52 to $171.10 (+0.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 31% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • A fairly wide model range ($128.32 to $294.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$156.20 $50.57 Fair Value $171.10 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $50.57 – $156.20 · fair‑value band $128.32 – $294.64 · the $130.36 price screens below the $171.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

NetEase, Inc (NTES) currently trades at $130.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $171.10, implying the stock looks roughly 31.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, NetEase, Inc generated revenue of $114B at a net margin of 29.8%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $45.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $128.32 (bear case) to $294.64 (bull case); at $130.36, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at 31%, NTES screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $256.02 $462.44 $879.67 80
Residual Income $69.41 $90.27 $361.69 76
Rev-Margin DCF $135.37 $226.33 $388.65 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $271.18 $417.52 $883.51 38
Owner Earnings $187.96 $407.28 $867.69 31
5Y Revenue Exit $135.37 $199.50 $330.60 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $172.94 $275.94 $475.69 41
5Y P/E Exit $204.90 $415.17 $696.92 38
10Y Revenue Exit $173.49 $304.27 $375.65 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $203.60 $384.27 $696.37 37
10Y P/E Exit $226.85 $452.33 $829.51 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $72.02 $502.28 $704.87 54
Lynch FV $182.17 $260.24 $338.31 50
PEG = 1.0 $182.17 $260.24 $338.31 46
EPV $105.08 $119.92 $132.91 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $38.74 $80.55 $127.79 70
DDM Multi-Stage $38.74 $67.93 $84.54 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $158.87 $211.83 $264.79 63
P/S Multiple $66.25 $88.34 $110.42 58
P/B Multiple $113.23 $150.97 $188.71 55
EV/EBIT $167.81 $218.40 $268.99 53
EV/EBITDA $132.33 $171.10 $209.87 54
EV/Revenue $77.87 $104.37 $130.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $25.16 $33.72 $50.32 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $256.02 $462.44 $879.67 80
Rev-Margin DCF $135.37 $226.33 $388.65 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $69.41 $90.27 $361.69 76
ROIC Compounder $130.98 $186.63 $265.03 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $230.55 $329.36 $428.16 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($384.27) versus Asset-Based ($33.72). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $114B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.1%
Net margin 29.8%
Return on equity 22.1%
Free cash flow $48.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 16.1
More key figures
Operating margin 41.4%
EPS (TTM) $7.81
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.1%
Net cash $45.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NetEase, Inc. engages in online games, music streaming, online intelligent learning services, and internet content services businesses in China and internationally. The company operates through Games and Related Value-Added Services; Youdao; NetEase Cloud Music; and Innovative Businesses and Others segments.

Full company description

NetEase, Inc. engages in online games, music streaming, online intelligent learning services, and internet content services businesses in China and internationally. The company operates through Games and Related Value-Added Services; Youdao; NetEase Cloud Music; and Innovative Businesses and Others segments. It develops and operates mobile and PC games; and offers games licensed from other developers. The company also provides live streaming service, and other related or ancillary value-added services related to games, such as the sale of game-themed merchandise. In addition, it offers digital content services with interactive learning features, including Youdao Lingshi and Youdao Literature; STEAM courses consisting computer coding courses and other STEAM courses; and adult courses, such as China University massive open online course. Further, the company provides Youdao Dictionary, an online language tool; Confucius, a large language model for the education sector; Hi Echo, an AI-driven virtual English-speaking tutor; Mr. P AI Tutor, a conversation-based tool; Youdao Desktop Translation, a desktop dictionary tool; U-Dictionary, an online dictionary and translation app; iRecord, an audio transcription tool; LectMate, an interpretation software for study-abroad lecture scenarios; iArch, an AI home design software; Baby Genius, an AI baby generator; and One Translate Translator, a translation tool for travelers. It also offers online marketing services consisting of performance-based advertising services, and global marketing and promotion services through banners, text links, videos, logos, buttons, and rich media. Additionally, the company develops and offers smart devices, including Youdao Dictionary Pen, Youdao Listening Pod, and Youdao Smart Learning Pad. NetEase, Inc. was formerly known as NetEase.com, Inc. and changed its name to NetEase, Inc. in March 2012. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NetEase, Inc reported revenue of ¥113B in FY2025 versus ¥87.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥33.8B in FY2025, compounding +19.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$113B
Latest YoY
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+40.7%
Revenue +6.5%/yr
FY21 ¥87.6B
FY22 ¥96.5B
FY23 ¥103B
FY24 ¥105B
FY25 ¥113B
Net income +19.0%/yr
FY21 ¥16.9B
FY22 ¥20.3B
FY23 ¥29.4B
FY24 ¥29.7B
FY25 ¥33.8B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NetEase, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NTES

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 152 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +31% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.39× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.33× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 75 · sector 21
FUTURE 31 · sector 10
PAST 89 · sector 11
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 48 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Electronic Arts Inc EA $207.27 $76.57 -63%
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $237.04 $60.45 -74%
Roblox Corporation RBLX $57.07 $21.20 -63%
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥14.04 ¥14.68 +5%
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 240,500 KRW 395,557 KRW +64%
Kunlun Tech Co 300418 ¥44.61 ¥6.87 -85%
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥29.98 ¥15.69 -48%
International Games System Co 3293 704.00 TWD 568.16 TWD -19%
37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥19.02 ¥22.29 +17%
Kingnet Network Co 002517 ¥16.69 ¥15.15 -9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NetEase, Inc (NTES) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $171.10 versus a price of $130.36, about +31% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NTES?
Our model-based fair value for NetEase, Inc is $171.10 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $130.36.
What is the quality score of NTES?
NetEase, Inc has a Quality Score of 73/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NetEase, Inc (NTES)?
NetEase, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $114B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NTES?
The net profit margin of NetEase, Inc is about 29.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 29.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NetEase, Inc pay a dividend?
NetEase, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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