Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc stock $75.06, price $209, that is 64.1% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 11 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Our calculation puts a fair price 64% below what the stock costs today.
Generates free cash flow
Positive coverage
Quality 55/100
Mixed Growth(revenue 5y +14.6 %/yr in USD)
Moderate debt
Insiders sold $148.5M (6M)
Some data
Profit last quarter 50% below a year ago.
Fair value $75.06 · Strongly overvalued (−64.1%)
Loss-making · -4.8% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers(1/13)
Narrow moat18/100 · thin data
Risks from the AI analysis
🚩Price drop: Expectations for softer revenue and earnings with focus on execution and franchise concentration🚩Regulation on loot boxes and gambling mechanics
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $93.57 – $262.29 · fair‑value band $37.38 – $136.55 · the $208.90 price screens above the $75.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. develops, publishes, and markets interactive entertainment solutions for consumers worldwide.
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The company develops and publishes action/adventure products under the Grand Theft Auto, LA Noire, Max Payne, Midnight Club, and Red Dead Redemption names, as well as other franchises.
It also publishes various entertainment properties across various platforms and a range of genres, such as shooter, action, role-playing, strategy, sports, and family/casual entertainment under the BioShock, Mafia, Sid Meier's Civilization, XCOM series, Borderlands, and Tiny Tina's Wonderland names.
In addition, the company publishes sports simulation titles comprising NBA 2K series, a basketball video game; the WWE 2K professional wrestling series; mobile titles, including WWE SuperCard; and PGA TOUR 2K. Further, it offers free-to-play mobile games, such as CSR Racing, Dragon City, Empires & Puzzles, FarmVille 3, Game of Thrones: Legends, Golf Rival, Harry Potter: Puzzles & Spells, Hit It Rich!, Match Factory!, Merge Dragons!, Merge Magic!, Monster Legends, NBA 2K, Toon Blast, Top Eleven, Wizard Of Oz Slots Casino, Toy Blast, Words With Friends, and Zynga Poker; and Color Block Jam. The company's products are designed for console gaming systems; and mobiles, such as smartphones, tablets, and personal computers.
It provides its products through physical retail, digital download, online platforms, and cloud streaming services. Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is based in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO) currently trades at $208.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $75.06, 64% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $49.58 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the $208.90 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $24.53, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $37.38 (bear) to $136.55 (bull), the price of $208.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc reported revenue of $6.7B in FY2026 versus $3.5B in FY2022, a compound +17.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$298M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $38.7B Large · P/S ratio 5.78 · EPS (TTM) $−1.73 · Net margin −4.8% · Return on equity −9.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.7% · Operating margin 0.5% · Revenue (TTM) $6.7B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 86% fair-value upside, at −64%, TTWO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($2.85 to $82.90). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear$37.38Fair Value $75.06Bull$136.55
Price $208.90 · Downside -64.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 10 officers or directors sold shares worth $148.5M and none bought.
SaleEllen F SiminoffDirector10× since Nov 14, 2025: 3,816 shares, avg. $225.57$860,765Oct 15, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleMichael ShereskyDirector5× since Nov 17, 2025: 1,079 shares, avg. $214.33$231,267Oct 2, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleWilliam B GordonDirector3× since Mar 2, 2026: 15,000 shares, avg. $204.54$3.1MSep 29, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleDaniel P EmersonChief Legal Officer7× since Dec 2, 2025: 44,058 shares, avg. $219.35$9.7MSep 3, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleLainie GoldsteinChief Financial Officer4× since Dec 2, 2025: 35,173 shares, avg. $220.64$7.8MSep 2, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleLaVerne Evans SrinivasanDirector3× since Nov 18, 2025: 2,085 shares, avg. $237.84$495,906Aug 17, 2026
SaleStrauss ZelnickChairman, CEO, Director4× since Mar 2, 2026: 378,969 shares, avg. $227.01$86.0MAug 10, 2026
SaleJon J MosesDirector2× since Jun 15, 2026: 1,000 shares, avg. $229.92$229,915Jun 22, 2026
SaleMichael DornemannDirector2× since Mar 5, 2026: 2,541 shares, avg. $214.87$545,985Jun 4, 2026
SaleKarl SlatoffPresident249,327 shares at $225.52$56.2MJun 3, 202610b5-1 plan
Plus 18 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.8% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.7% (2021) → −1.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +32.6% a year for the price and +8.7% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Revenue scale offers a foundation while net losses and heavy reliance on select titles limit durability and efficiency.
Main risk: Stricter rules on simulated gambling or loot boxes in games could force changes to core monetisation features and expose the company to penalties or required modifications.
Bull case: The company could adapt its game mechanics early to comply with evolving rules while maintaining player engagement through alternative monetisation that preserves margins.
Bear case: New or stricter regulations on loot boxes and similar features could require costly redesigns of popular titles and limit recurring revenue streams from in-game purchases.
Take-Two heads into its second-quarter report with expectations for softer revenue and earnings while investors focus on any fresh signals around Grand Theft Auto VI demand. Pre-order interest looks solid and the online component could support recurring spending, yet the company still carries heavy development costs and relies heavily on a few major titles. Will the launch deliver enough upside to ease concerns over near-term execution and costs, or will the concentration on one franchise create more volatility than growth?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 160 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $75.06 versus a price of $208.90, about 64% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TTWO?
Our model-based fair value for Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is $75.06 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $208.90.
What is the quality score of TTWO?
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $75.06 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $37.38, optimistic scenario $136.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Take-Two Interactive Software Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $75.06, about 64% lower versus a price of $208.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $37.38, optimistic scenario $136.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Take-Two Interactive Software Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +35.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.6 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TTWO use?
Our models discount Take-Two Interactive Software Inc at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.97, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Take-Two Interactive Software Inc that is +35.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Take-Two Interactive Software Inc grew +14.6 % a year. The price currently implies +35.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (+35.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.19 %: that much free cash flow Take-Two Interactive Software Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Take-Two Interactive Software Inc it is $75.06 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $208.90. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Take-Two Interactive Software Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, TTWO trades above its calculated fair value: price $208.90, fair value $75.06, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TTWO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($208.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($75.06). For Take-Two Interactive Software Inc the two are $133.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Take-Two Interactive Software Inc worth?
The market values Take-Two Interactive Software Inc at about $38.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $208.90; our models calculate a fair value of $75.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TTWO?
Our models span a range for Take-Two Interactive Software Inc: cautious scenario $37.38, base $75.06, optimistic $136.55 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $208.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of TTWO?
The PEG ratio of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is 2.82 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −9.0%, debt of 0.71 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TTWO from its 52-week high?
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc trades at $208.90, about 19% below its 52-week high of $258.41 and 10% above the low of $189.69 (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $75.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Take-Two Interactive Software Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value NetEase, Inc, Roblox Corporation, Zhejiang Century Huatong Group, CD Projekt S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Take-Two Interactive Software Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $208.90, calculated fair value $75.06 (−64%), Quality Score 55/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TTWO calculated?
We run Take-Two Interactive Software Inc through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $75.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6% above its aggregate fair value. Take-Two Interactive Software Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was $208.90. Our model-based fair value is $75.06, about 64% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Take-Two Interactive Software Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($136.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($37.38 to $136.55). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
The market capitalisation of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is $38.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is 5.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
Earnings per share at Take-Two Interactive Software Inc are $−1.73. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
The net margin of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is −4.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is −9.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is −3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
The operating margin of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
Revenue at Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is growing +2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO)?
Earnings per share at Take-Two Interactive Software Inc are growing −49.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (TTWO) carry?
The net debt of Take-Two Interactive Software Inc is $1.4B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 5, 2026