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VNET Group (VNET) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $2.4B

VG VNET Group logo VNET Group VNET · US
Price$7.33
Fair Value$13.74
Upside+87.5%
Quality26/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -5.3% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range $8.83 – $13.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $9.82 to $13.74 (+39.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −12.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 87% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($8.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$27.91 $1.42 Fair Value $13.74 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.42 – $27.91 · fair‑value band $8.83 – $13.74 · the $7.33 price screens below the $13.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

VNET Group (VNET) currently trades at $7.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.74, implying the stock looks roughly 87.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, VNET Group generated revenue of $10.4B at a net margin of -5.3%. Revenue grew 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.1%. Net debt stands at $22.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.83 (bear case) to $13.74 (bull case); at $7.33, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 87%, VNET screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $59.63 $92.86 $126.09 54
EV/EBIT $7.09 $18.87 53
NCAV (Graham) $11.12 $14.90 $22.24 50
All 4 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBIT $7.09 $18.87 53
EV/EBITDA $59.63 $92.86 $126.09 54
EV/Revenue $4.21 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.12 $14.90 $22.24 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($14.90) versus Multiples ($7.09). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $10.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.8%
Net margin -5.3%
Return on equity -4.1%
Free cash flow −$5.9B FY2025
Operating margin 9.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.21
EPS growth (YoY) +133%
Net debt $22.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

VNET Group, Inc., an investment holding company, provides data center hosting and related services in China. The company offers managed hosting services comprising managed retail services, such as colocation services that dedicate data center space to house customers' servers and networking equipment, as well as allow customers to lease partial or entire …

Full company description

VNET Group, Inc., an investment holding company, provides data center hosting and related services in China. The company offers managed hosting services comprising managed retail services, such as colocation services that dedicate data center space to house customers' servers and networking equipment, as well as allow customers to lease partial or entire cabinets for their servers; interconnectivity services that allow customers to connect their servers; and value-added services, including hybrid IT, bare metal, firewall, server load balancing, data backup and recovery, data center management, server management, and standby server services. It also provides cloud services that allow customers to run applications over the internet using IT infrastructure; and VPN services that extend customers' private networks by setting up connections through the public internet. In addition, the company offers server administration services, including operating system support and assistance with updates, server monitoring, server backup and restoration, server security evaluation, firewall services, and disaster recovery services. It serves information technology and cloud services, communications and social networking, gaming and entertainment, e-commerce, automobile, financial services, and blue-chip and small-to-mid-sized enterprises; government agencies; individuals; and telecommunication carriers. The company was formerly known as 21Vianet Group, Inc. and changed its name to VNET Group, Inc. in October 2021. VNET Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

VNET Group reported revenue of $9.7B in FY2025 versus $6.2B in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$250M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.7B
Latest YoY
+17.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.9%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+23.9%
Revenue +11.8%/yr
FY21 $6.2B
FY22 $7.2B
FY23 $7.4B
FY24 $8.3B
FY25 $9.7B
Net income
FY21 $500M
FY22 −$790M
FY23 −$2.6B
FY24 $183M
FY25 −$250M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VNET Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VNET

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 480 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +87% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.69× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.38× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.45× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 20
FUTURE 99 · sector 29
PAST 0 · sector 36
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is VNET Group (VNET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.74 versus a price of $7.33, about +87% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VNET?
Our model-based fair value for VNET Group is $13.74 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.33.
What is the quality score of VNET?
VNET Group has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of VNET Group (VNET)?
VNET Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VNET?
The net profit margin of VNET Group is about -5.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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