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Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Verde Agritech Ltd. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jul 25, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · US

VA Verde Agritech Ltd. logo Thin data Jul 25, 2026

Verde Agritech Ltd.

VNPKF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.1800 · Strongly overvalued (−64.7%)
!Quality 32/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +12.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -75.3% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/10)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$8.42 $0.2885 Fair Value $0.1800 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2885 – $8.42 · fair‑value band $0.1300 – $0.2600 · the $0.5100 price screens above the $0.1800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Company profile

Verde AgriTech Limited, a specialty fertilizer company, produces and sells potassium fertilizers for agriculture in Brazil and internationally. The company offers multi-nutrient potassium fertilizer under the K Forte brand; mixed mineral fertilizer under the BAKS brand name; and low-carbon specialty fertilizer products under the Super Greensand brand.

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Verde AgriTech Limited, a specialty fertilizer company, produces and sells potassium fertilizers for agriculture in Brazil and internationally. The company offers multi-nutrient potassium fertilizer under the K Forte brand; mixed mineral fertilizer under the BAKS brand name; and low-carbon specialty fertilizer products under the Super Greensand brand. It also holds a 100% interest in the Cerrado Verde project, which is the located in the Minas Gerais State, Brazil. The company was formerly known as Verde Potash PLC and changed its name to Verde AgriTech Ltd in June 2016. Verde AgriTech Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.

Stock analysis

Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF) currently trades at $0.5100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1800, 64.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.1300 (bear) to $0.2600 (bull), the price of $0.5100 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Verde Agritech Ltd. reported revenue of C$16.6M in FY2025 versus C$27.7M in FY2021, a compound −12.0%/yr. Reported net income was −C$11.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $30.3M · P/S ratio 1.96 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1500 · Net margin −70.3% · Return on equity −45.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% · Operating margin −135% · Revenue (TTM) C$15.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at −65%, VNPKF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1300 Fair Value $0.1800 Bull $0.2600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.1300 $0.1700 $0.2600 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1300 $0.1700 $0.2600 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 35/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−40.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.3% (2020) → −38.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

VNPKF screens overvalued: fair value 65% below the price. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 170 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −65.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −75.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −135.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −41.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.02× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.46× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.96× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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CF Industries Holdings CF $115.51 $163.44 +41%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 123.60 SAR 150.65 SAR +22%
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Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥27.56 ¥50.49 +83%
The Mosaic Company MOS $22.42 $25.77 +15%
ICL Group ICL $5.14 $2.98 −42%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹1,964 ₹1,129 −43%

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$0.1800 −65%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Verde Agritech Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VNPKF

Frequently asked questions

Is Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1800 versus a price of $0.5100, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VNPKF?
Our model-based fair value for Verde Agritech Ltd. is $0.1800 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5100.
What is the quality score of VNPKF?
Verde Agritech Ltd. has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1800 (as of Jul 25, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1300, optimistic scenario $0.2600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Verde Agritech Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1800, about −65% upside versus a price of $0.5100 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1300, optimistic scenario $0.2600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
Verde Agritech Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$15.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Verde Agritech Ltd. it is $0.1800 per share (as of Jul 25, 2026), against a price of $0.5100. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Verde Agritech Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jul 25, 2026, VNPKF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.5100, fair value $0.1800, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VNPKF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1800). For Verde Agritech Ltd. the two are $0.3300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Verde Agritech Ltd. worth?
The market values Verde Agritech Ltd. at about $30.3M (market capitalisation, as of Jul 25, 2026). Per share that is $0.5100; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VNPKF?
Our models span a range for Verde Agritech Ltd.: cautious scenario $0.1300, base $0.1800, optimistic $0.2600 per share (as of Jul 25, 2026, price $0.5100). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Verde Agritech Ltd. (as of Jul 25, 2026): return on equity −45.9%, debt of 2.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VNPKF from its 52-week high?
Verde Agritech Ltd. trades at $0.5100, about 67% below its 52-week high of $1.56 and 44% above the low of $0.3550 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Verde Agritech Ltd.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Verde Agritech Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jul 25, 2026: price $0.5100, calculated fair value $0.1800 (−65%), Quality Score 32/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VNPKF calculated?
We run Verde Agritech Ltd. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Verde Agritech Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.5100. Our model-based fair value is $0.1800, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Verde Agritech Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1300 to $0.2600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Verde Agritech Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
The market capitalisation of Verde Agritech Ltd. is $30.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Verde Agritech Ltd. is 1.96 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
Earnings per share at Verde Agritech Ltd. are $−0.1500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
The net margin of Verde Agritech Ltd. is −70.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Verde Agritech Ltd. is −45.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Verde Agritech Ltd. is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
The operating margin of Verde Agritech Ltd. is −135% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
Revenue at Verde Agritech Ltd. is growing −41.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −40.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF)?
Earnings per share at Verde Agritech Ltd. are growing −97.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF) generate?
The free cash flow of Verde Agritech Ltd. is −C$495K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Verde Agritech Ltd. (VNPKF) carry?
The net debt of Verde Agritech Ltd. is C$44.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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