Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co (000792) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 132B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +0.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥16.67 to ¥34.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.86 – ¥43.76 · fair‑value band ¥16.67 – ¥34.85 · the ¥28.53 price screens above the ¥21.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co (000792) currently trades at ¥28.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.26, implying the stock looks roughly 25.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co generated revenue of 18.6B CNY at a net margin of 55.4%. Revenue grew 94.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 15.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥16.67 (bear case) to ¥34.85 (bull case); at ¥28.53, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -25%, 000792 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥31.91) versus Asset-Based (¥5.69). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells potash fertilizers in China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Potassium Products, Lithium Products, Trading, and Other.
Full company description
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells potash fertilizers in China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Potassium Products, Lithium Products, Trading, and Other. The company offers chemical raw materials and chemical products; potassium chloride and other potassium products; lithium carbonate; and fertilizers. It also operates hotels and department stores; and provides labor services. Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co.,Ltd was founded in 1958 and is based in Golmud, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co reported revenue of ¥15.5B in FY2025 versus ¥14.7B in FY2021, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥8.5B in FY2025, compounding +17.3%/yr from FY2021.
000792 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →
Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 178 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
| PI Industries Limited PIIND | ₹2,624 | ₹1,345 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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