Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $652M
Verra Mobility Corporation
VRRM · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $18.11 to $12.87 (−28.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +16.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 163% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide ($6.59 to $34.03). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.85 – $30.84 · fair‑value band $6.59 – $34.03 · the $4.90 price screens below the $12.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) currently trades at $4.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.87, implying the stock looks roughly 162.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Verra Mobility Corporation generated revenue of $979M at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue grew 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 45.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $27.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.59 (bear case) to $34.03 (bull case); at $4.90, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 163%, VRRM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($40.57) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Verra Mobility Corporation provides smart mobility technology solutions in the United States, Australia, Europe, and Canada. It operates through three segments: Commercial Services, Government Solutions, and Parking Solutions.
Full company description
Verra Mobility Corporation provides smart mobility technology solutions in the United States, Australia, Europe, and Canada. It operates through three segments: Commercial Services, Government Solutions, and Parking Solutions. The Commercial Services segment offers automated toll and violations management, and title and registration solutions to rental car companies, direct commercial fleet owner-operators, fleet management companies, and other fleet owners. The Government Solutions segment provides photo enforcement solutions and services to its customers, including complete, end-to-end speed, red-light, and school bus stop arm and bus lane enforcement solutions; and traffic enforcement products and recurring maintenance services related to the equipment and software. This segment serves municipalities, counties, school districts, and law enforcement agencies. The Parking Solutions segment offers an integrated suite of parking software, transaction processing and hardware solutions to its customers, which include universities, municipalities, healthcare facilities, and commercial parking operators. This segment also develops specialized hardware and parking management software that provides a platform for the issuance of parking permits, enforcement, gateless vehicle counting, and event parking and citation services, as well as produces and markets its proprietary software as a service to its customers. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Mesa, Arizona.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Verra Mobility Corporation reported revenue of $979M in FY2025 versus $551M in FY2021, a compound +15.5%/yr. Reported net income was $137M in FY2025, compounding +34.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Verra Mobility Corp (VRRM) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Renewals and Cost ...
- Verra Mobility (VRRM) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
- VERRA MOBILITY CORP (VRRM) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
- Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Beats Q2 CY2026 Sales Expectations But Stock Drops 14.6%
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 480 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.92 | $143.90 | -39% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 250.95 MXN | -90% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,204 | ₹1,230 | +2% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹178.43 | ₹226.81 | +27% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,455 | ₹1,086 | -25% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 199,300 KRW | 196,390 KRW | -1% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,059 | ₹2,364 | -53% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 393,000 KRW | 133,088 KRW | -66% |
| Coforge Limited COFORGE | ₹1,541 | ₹702.84 | -54% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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