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Vtech Holdings (VTKLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Vtech Holdings $9.86, price $5.83, upside +69.1%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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VH
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Vtech Holdings
VTKLF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $9.86 · Strongly undervalued (+69.1%)
✓Quality 69/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!9.1% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Moderate moat 55/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.96 – $8.08 · fair‑value band $6.78 – $13.09 · the $5.83 price screens below the $9.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Vtech Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes electronic products in Hong Kong, North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.
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Vtech Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes electronic products in Hong Kong, North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company offers electronic learning toys for infancy through toddler, and preschool under the Vtech and LeapFrog brands; platform products, including motion-based learning system, smartwatches, interactive reading systems, learning globe, educational tablets, activity desks, and handheld communication devices, as well as educational and fun apps and games. It also provides telecommunication products, such as residential, commercial, and smart phones under the Vtech, Gigaset, snom, AT&T brands; and other telecommunication products, including baby monitors, handsets, and integrated access devices. In addition, the company offers contract manufacturing services for customers in the areas of professional audio equipment, hearables, Internet of Things, and medical and health products. Further, it provides property holding, and group financing and procurement services; develops broadband connectivity software; manufactures consumer electronic products; sells telecommunication and electronic products; and manufactures and sells plastic products. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Tai Po, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Vtech Holdings (VTKLF) currently trades at $5.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.86, implying the stock looks roughly 40.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $11.06 per share, and 19 of the 24 models we run sit above the $5.83 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.71, and 5 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.78 (bear) to $13.09 (bull), the price of $5.83 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Vtech Holdings reported revenue of $2.0B in FY2026 versus $2.4B in FY2022, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was $133M in FY2026, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $1.8B · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) $0.5300 · Dividend yield 9.1% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 20.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at 69%, VTKLF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.78
Fair Value $9.86
Bull $13.09
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$4.34
$5.26
$6.79
82
Growth DCF
$4.43
$5.30
$6.64
80
Owner Earnings
$6.51
$8.03
$10.55
78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$4.34
$5.26
$6.79
82
Owner Earnings
$6.51
$8.03
$10.55
78
5Y Revenue Exit
$5.78
$8.21
$11.68
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
$8.49
$12.85
$18.47
75
5Y P/E Exit
$7.93
$11.88
$16.46
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$4.98
$6.88
$9.09
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$6.65
$9.69
$13.22
69
10Y P/E Exit
$6.33
$9.10
$12.00
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$3.58
$6.31
$7.74
66
EPV
$5.52
$6.14
$6.65
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$4.71
$5.81
$6.85
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$4.71
$6.06
$7.50
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$11.07
$14.75
$18.44
63
P/S Multiple
$6.72
$8.96
$11.20
58
P/B Multiple
$6.72
$8.96
$11.20
55
EV/EBIT
$13.44
$17.57
$21.71
66
EV/EBITDA
$13.25
$17.32
$21.39
67
EV/Revenue
$7.31
$10.00
$12.68
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.28
$1.71
$2.56
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$4.43
$5.30
$6.64
80
Rev-Margin DCF
$5.78
$8.26
$11.26
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$2.86
$3.45
$4.61
76
ROIC Compounder
$5.59
$6.29
$6.94
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$7.74
$11.06
$14.37
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
69/100
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Profitability
73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.8% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7.0% vs −3.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.2% a year for the price.
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Compare Vtech Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 298 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $107.63 | $118.39 | +10% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥61.00 | ¥13.99 | −77% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥895.86 | ¥342.18 | −62% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥435.00 | ¥289.12 | −34% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $445.97 | $249.04 | −44% |
| Nokia Oyj NOKIA | €9.19 | €3.15 | −66% |
| Ciena Corporation CIEN | $356.91 | $48.70 | −86% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥267.93 | ¥87.34 | −67% |
| Ubiquiti Inc UI | $609.64 | $670.60 | +10% |
| Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 6869 | HK$186.50 | HK$32.66 | −82% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Vtech Holdings (VTKLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.86 versus a price of $5.83, about +69% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VTKLF?
Our model-based fair value for Vtech Holdings is $9.86 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.83.
What is the quality score of VTKLF?
Vtech Holdings has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.86 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.78, optimistic scenario $13.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vtech Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.86, about +69% upside versus a price of $5.83 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $6.78, optimistic scenario $13.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
Vtech Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Vtech Holdings pay a dividend?
Vtech Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Vtech Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by +2.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VTKLF use?
Our models discount Vtech Holdings at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Vtech Holdings that is +2.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Vtech Holdings (VTKLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Vtech Holdings grew -3.2 % a year. The price currently implies +2.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Vtech Holdings (+2.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.24 %: that much free cash flow Vtech Holdings produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vtech Holdings it is $9.86 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $5.83. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vtech Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, VTKLF trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.83, fair value $9.86, a gap of about +69% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VTKLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.86). For Vtech Holdings the two are $4.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vtech Holdings worth?
The market values Vtech Holdings at about $1.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $5.83; our models calculate a fair value of $9.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VTKLF?
Our models span a range for Vtech Holdings: cautious scenario $6.78, base $9.86, optimistic $13.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $5.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VTKLF?
Vtech Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9.86 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 7.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vtech Holdings (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 20.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VTKLF from its 52-week high?
Vtech Holdings trades at $5.83, about 28% below its 52-week high of $8.08 and at the low of $5.83 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vtech Holdings?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vtech Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $5.83, calculated fair value $9.86 (+69%), Quality Score 69/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VTKLF calculated?
We run Vtech Holdings through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9.86, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Vtech Holdings currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $5.83. Our model-based fair value is $9.86, about +69% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vtech Holdings right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.78). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($6.78 to $13.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF) come from?
Earnings per share at Vtech Holdings grew −2.3 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.9 %, EBIT margin −2.1 %, tax rate −0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Vtech Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
The market capitalisation of Vtech Holdings is $1.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vtech Holdings is 0.73 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
Earnings per share at Vtech Holdings are $0.5300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
The dividend yield of Vtech Holdings is 9.1% (payout 100%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
The net margin of Vtech Holdings is 6.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vtech Holdings is 20.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vtech Holdings is 14.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
The operating margin of Vtech Holdings is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
Revenue at Vtech Holdings is growing −4.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vtech Holdings (VTKLF)?
Earnings per share at Vtech Holdings are growing −14.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Vtech Holdings (VTKLF) hold?
Vtech Holdings holds more cash than debt, $137M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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