Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cisco Systems Inc stock $105, price $95.72, upside +10.0%, quality 76 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Cisco Systems Inc
CSCO · USThe stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $35.46 – $129.52 · fair‑value band $67.51 – $142.61 · the $95.72 price screens below the $105.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Company profile
Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, develops, and sells technologies that help to power, secure, and draw insights from the internet in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and China.
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The company offers data center switching; network security, identity and access management, and secure access service edge; threat intelligence, detection, and response solutions; interconnects public and private wireline and mobile networks, delivering connectivity to campus, data center, and branch networks; WEBEX suite, collaboration devices, and contact center; communication platform as a service software, including perpetual licenses, subscription arrangements, and hardware solutions; network assurance, monitoring and analytics, and observability suite; issue resolution, software support, and hardware replacement; professional services, such as planning, design, implementation, and high-value consulting; service and support packages, financing, and managed network services; and regional, national, and international wireline carriers, webscale products, internet, and cable.
It also delivers connectivity to campus, data center, and branch networks; wireless products, including indoor and outdoor wireless coverage designed for seamless roaming use of voice, video, and data applications; end-to-end collaboration solutions through cloud, on-premise, or within hybrid cloud environments, transition collaboration solutions from on-premise to the cloud; and network assurance, monitoring and analytics, and observability suite.
In addition, it offers technical support and advisory services. The company serves businesses, public institutions, governments, and service providers. It sells its products and services directly, through systems integrators, service providers, resellers, and distributors.
Cisco Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Stock analysis
Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) currently trades at $95.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $105.29, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $76.10 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the $95.72 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $27.23, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $67.51 (bear) to $142.61 (bull), the price of $95.72 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Cisco Systems Inc reported revenue of $63.3B in FY2026 versus $51.6B in FY2022, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was $13.3B in FY2026, compounding +2.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $386B Mega · P/E ratio 28.7 · P/S ratio 6.09 · EPS (TTM) $3.33 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 21.0% · Return on equity 27.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 86 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at 10%, CSCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 7 officers or directors sold shares worth $13.2M and none bought.
- SaleOliver TuszikEVP, Global Sales7× since Nov 14, 2025: 30,733 shares, avg. $89.20$2.7MSep 14, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleThimaya K. SubaiyaEVP, Operations7× since Nov 19, 2025: 83,031 shares, avg. $84.37$7.0MSep 14, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleMark PattersonEVP and CFO6× since Nov 18, 2025: 93,704 shares, avg. $85.55$8.0MSep 11, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleNichlas A FinkSVP, Chief Accounting Officer2,274 shares at $109.36$248,685Sep 8, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleCharles RobbinsChair and CEO, Director4× since Nov 14, 2025: 665,005 shares, avg. $80.36$53.4MAug 14, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleDeborah L StahlkopfEVP and Chief Legal Officer4× since Nov 14, 2025: 185,658 shares, avg. $80.50$14.9MAug 14, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleJeetendra I PatelPresident and CPO4× since Nov 14, 2025: 189,483 shares, avg. $80.51$15.3MAug 14, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleMaria Victoria WongSVP & Chief Acctg Officer5× since Nov 24, 2025: 13,010 shares, avg. $76.77$998,839Mar 11, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleMichael D CapellasDirector27,000 shares at $77.22$2.1MDec 19, 2025
- SaleKristina M JohnsonDirector13,481 shares at $77.13$1.0MDec 18, 2025
Plus 37 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Recent news
- Cisco Systems (CSCO) Dips More Than Broader Market: What You Should Know
- Cisco Stocks Fall 6.2% as Rating Cut Targets AI Margin Risk
Compare Cisco Systems Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 302 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- PEG ratio by industry
- Revenue growth by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥172.10 | ¥204.17 | +19% | vs CSCO |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 1,280 TWD | 1,518 TWD | +19% | vs CSCO |
| Ubiquiti Inc UI | $514.20 | $565.62 | +10% | vs CSCO |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥448.00 | ¥342.18 | −24% | vs CSCO |
| Nokia Oyj NOKIA | €6.98 | €3.87 | −45% | vs CSCO |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $517.01 | $249.63 | −52% | vs CSCO |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥40.71 | ¥13.93 | −66% | vs CSCO |
| Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 | ¥240.00 | ¥59.92 | −75% | vs CSCO |
| Ciena Corporation CIEN | $230.81 | $50.06 | −78% | vs CSCO |
| Lumentum Holdings LITE | $509.70 | $85.88 | −83% | vs CSCO |
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Key figures of Cisco Systems Inc
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