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Zephyr Energy plc (ZPHR) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · GB · Market cap 65.8M GBX

ZE Zephyr Energy plc ZPHR · LSE
Price£0.0320
Fair Value£0.0250
Upside-22.0%
Quality92/100
Evidence: Low Range £0.0250 – £0.0250

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from £0.0400 to £0.0250 (−37.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +14.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

£0.0371 £0.0209 Fair Value £0.0250 Jul 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range £0.0209 – £0.0371 · the £0.0320 price screens above the £0.0250 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Zephyr Energy plc (ZPHR) currently trades at £0.0320, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0250 — implying the stock looks roughly 22.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 92/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at £15.5M. Revenue declined 53.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -49.6%. Net debt stands at £16.1M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 15.5M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -53.7%
Net margin -190%
Return on equity -49.6%
Free cash flow −751K GBX FY2024
Operating margin -102%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) £-0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) -7.3%
Net debt 16.1M GBX FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Zephyr Energy plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas resources in the United States. Its flagship property is the Paradox Project, which covers an area of approximately 46,000 gross acres located in Utah, the United States. The company was formerly known as Rose Petroleum plc and changed its name to Zephyr Energy plc in August 2020. Zephyr Energy plc was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Newbury, the United Kingdom.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Zephyr Energy plc reported revenue of £24.3M in FY2024 versus £0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −£19.6M in FY2024.

Revenue
FY20 £0
FY21 £5.5M
FY22 £41.1M
FY23 £25.2M
FY24 £24.3M
Net income
FY20 −£3.0M
FY21 £848K
FY22 £19.3M
FY23 −£3.5M
FY24 −£19.6M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zephyr Energy plc (ZPHR) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.0250 versus a price of £0.0320 — about −22% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ZPHR?
Our 21-model fair value for Zephyr Energy plc is £0.0250 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.0320.
What is the quality score of ZPHR?
Zephyr Energy plc has a Quality Score of 92/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Zephyr Energy plc (ZPHR)?
Zephyr Energy plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £15.5M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZPHR?
The net profit margin of Zephyr Energy plc is about -190.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.