Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Central Garden & Pet Company A stock $55.20, price $40.80, upside +35.3%, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $26.27 – $41.50 · fair‑value band $41.40 – $69.00 · the $40.80 price screens below the $55.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Central Garden & Pet Company produces and distributes various products for the lawn and garden, and pet supplies markets in the United States. It operates through two segments: Pet and Garden.
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The Pet segment provides dog and cat supplies, such as dog treats and chews, toys, pet beds and containment, grooming items, waste management, and training pads; supplies for aquatics, small animals, reptiles, and pet birds, including toys, enclosures, habitats, bedding, and food and supplements; products for equine and livestock; animal and household health and insect control products; aquariums and terrariums, including fixtures and stands, water conditioners and supplements, water pumps and filters, and lighting systems and accessories; and live fish and small animals, as well as outdoor cushions.
This segment sells its products under the Aqueon, Cadet, Comfort Zone, Farnam, Four Paws, K&H Pet Products, Kaytee, Nylabone, and Zilla brands.
Its Garden segment offers lawn and garden supplies products that include grass seed; vegetable; flower and herb packet seed; wild bird feed, bird feeders, bird houses, and other birding accessories; fertilizers; decorative products; live plants; and weed and grass, as well as other herbicides, insecticide, and pesticide products.
This segment sells its lawn and garden supplies products under the Amdro, Ferry-Morse, Pennington, and Sevin brands.
The company sells its products to independent distributors, big-box retailers, national and regional retail chains, eCommerce and online retailers, grocery stores, nurseries, and mass merchants. Central Garden & Pet Company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Walnut Creek, California.
Stock analysis
Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA) currently trades at $40.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $55.20, implying the stock looks roughly 26% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $73.08 per share, and 18 of the 23 models we run sit above the $40.80 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.28, and 5 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $41.40 (bear) to $69.00 (bull), the price of $40.80 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Central Garden & Pet Company A reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $3.3B in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was $163M in FY2025, compounding +1.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.5B Mid · P/E ratio 14.5 · P/S ratio 0.82 · EPS (TTM) $2.70 · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 14.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 35%, CENTA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$41.40Fair Value $55.20Bull$69.00
Price $40.80 · Upside +35.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.70 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $539,600 and none bought.
SaleWilliam E BrownChairman, Director, 10% owner3,900 shares at $39.00$152,100Aug 13, 2026
SaleJohn D. Walker IIIPresident, Garden Consumer Pro10,000 shares at $38.75$387,500Aug 12, 2026
SaleJohn RanelliDirector3,668 shares at $34.50$126,546Feb 19, 2026
SaleJohn Edward HansonPresident, Pet Consumer Prod5,000 shares at $34.75$173,750Feb 17, 2026
SaleBrendan DougherDirector3,250 shares at $33.38$108,485Feb 10, 2026
SaleChristopher T MetzDirector10,000 shares at $30.91$309,100Nov 28, 2025
Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.6% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+3.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3.0% vs 14.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.7%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.9% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Acquisition of the Burpee brand bolsters distribution channels in the garden segment, yet limited signals of durable advantage and moderate margins constrain business quality.
Main risk: The acquisition risks mainly broadening a lower-margin garden business and thereby pressuring overall profitability.
Central Garden & Pet strengthened its garden segment by acquiring the iconic Burpee brand, a 150-year-old leader in packet seeds and young plants whose deal closed in late September and will continue as an independent operation with its own leadership. This adds established retail distribution and direct-to-consumer channels to the existing mix of pet and garden products. Our models see the company as undervalued, yet does the acquisition expand profitable growth or mainly broaden a lower-margin garden business?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 627 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside+35.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.0% · Above median
Return on assets4.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)5.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)14.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−8.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.75× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)14.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.60× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.82× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)8.7× · Cheaper than median
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Central Garden & Pet Company A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CENTA
Frequently asked questions
Is Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $55.20 versus a price of $40.80, about +35% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CENTA?
Our model-based fair value for Central Garden & Pet Company A is $55.20 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $40.80.
What is the quality score of CENTA?
Central Garden & Pet Company A has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $55.20 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $41.40, optimistic scenario $69.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Central Garden & Pet Company A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $55.20, about +35% upside versus a price of $40.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $41.40, optimistic scenario $69.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
Central Garden & Pet Company A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Central Garden & Pet Company A would have to grow free cash flow by -5.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.0 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CENTA use?
Our models discount Central Garden & Pet Company A at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.59, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Central Garden & Pet Company A that is -5.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Central Garden & Pet Company A grew +3.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -5.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Central Garden & Pet Company A (-5.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.52 %: that much free cash flow Central Garden & Pet Company A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Central Garden & Pet Company A it is $55.20 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $40.80. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Central Garden & Pet Company A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, CENTA trades below its calculated fair value: price $40.80, fair value $55.20, a gap of about +35% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CENTA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($40.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($55.20). For Central Garden & Pet Company A the two are $14.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Central Garden & Pet Company A worth?
The market values Central Garden & Pet Company A at about $2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $40.80; our models calculate a fair value of $55.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CENTA?
Our models span a range for Central Garden & Pet Company A: cautious scenario $41.40, base $55.20, optimistic $69.00 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $40.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CENTA?
Central Garden & Pet Company A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.5 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $55.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.9, P/B 1.6, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 8.4.
What is the PEG ratio of CENTA?
The PEG ratio of Central Garden & Pet Company A is 1.87 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Central Garden & Pet Company A (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 10.0%, debt of 0.75 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CENTA from its 52-week high?
Central Garden & Pet Company A trades at $40.80, about 2% below its 52-week high of $41.50 and 48% above the low of $27.53 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $55.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Central Garden & Pet Company A?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Central Garden & Pet Company A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $40.80, calculated fair value $55.20 (+35%), Quality Score 63/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CENTA calculated?
We run Central Garden & Pet Company A through 23 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $55.20 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Central Garden & Pet Company A currently trades 26% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $40.80. Our model-based fair value is $55.20, about +35% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Central Garden & Pet Company A right now?
Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits below our cautious bear case: the market assumes less than even our pessimistic scenario. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA) come from?
Earnings per share at Central Garden & Pet Company A grew +16.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.0 %, EBIT margin +2.6 %, tax rate +1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +5.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Central Garden & Pet Company A
How large is the market capitalisation of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
The market capitalisation of Central Garden & Pet Company A is $2.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Central Garden & Pet Company A is 0.82 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
Earnings per share at Central Garden & Pet Company A are $2.70 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
The net margin of Central Garden & Pet Company A is 5.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Central Garden & Pet Company A is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Central Garden & Pet Company A is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
The operating margin of Central Garden & Pet Company A is 14.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
Revenue at Central Garden & Pet Company A is growing −8.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
Earnings per share at Central Garden & Pet Company A are growing −4.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA) carry?
The net debt of Central Garden & Pet Company A is $558M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 6, 2026