Premier Inc (PINC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Premier Inc stock $9.98, price $49.42, that is 79.8% below the price, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 20 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.16 – $49.72 · fair‑value band $8.77 – $11.52 · the $49.42 price screens above the $9.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Stock analysis
Premier Inc (PINC) currently trades at $49.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.98, 80% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $36.63 per share, and 2 of the 20 models we run sit above the $49.42 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $2.43, and 18 of the 20 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $8.77 (bear) to $11.52 (bull), the price of $49.42 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Health Care sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Premier Inc reported revenue of $1.0B in FY2025 versus $1.7B in FY2021, a compound −12.4%/yr. Reported net income was $20.3M in FY2025, compounding −48.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.5B Mid · P/E ratio 290.4 · P/S ratio 5.81 · EPS (TTM) $0.1700 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 152% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Health Care peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −80%, PINC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$8.77Fair Value $9.98Bull$11.52
Price $49.42 · Downside -79.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.1% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−32.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−34.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−34.6% vs −14.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → 0%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.2% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (92 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: The business benefits from aggregating purchasing power across two thirds of US healthcare providers together with AI-embedded analytics tools, yet persistently low ROE and margins point to limited durable advantage.
Main risk: Embedding AI across data and analytics tools risks mainly raising costs without expanding the value of the group purchasing platform and would hit margins and profitability.
Premier aggregates the purchasing power of two thirds of US healthcare providers and now embeds AI across its data and analytics tools. Private ownership since late 2025 gives it flexibility to invest in technology without public market scrutiny. Our models see it as overvalued. Will the AI push meaningfully expand the value of its group purchasing platform or mainly raise costs without lifting margins?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Health Care Providers & Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Health Care · 2276 stocks
Beats the sector median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−79.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.9% · Below median
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−3.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)11.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−3.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Health Care median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)290.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.97× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)4.52× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)14.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA16.8× · Pricier than median
PEG1.63× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)3· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)37· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Premier Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PINC
Frequently asked questions
Is Premier Inc (PINC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.98 versus a price of $49.42, about 80% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PINC?
Our model-based fair value for Premier Inc is $9.98 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $49.42.
What is the quality score of PINC?
Premier Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Premier Inc (PINC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.98 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.77, optimistic scenario $11.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Premier Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.98, about 80% lower versus a price of $49.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $8.77, optimistic scenario $11.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Premier Inc (PINC)?
Premier Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Premier Inc pay a dividend?
Premier Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 1.87% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Premier Inc (PINC)?
Premier Inc has a dividend yield of 1.9%.
What growth is priced into Premier Inc (PINC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Premier Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +2.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.9 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PINC use?
Our models discount Premier Inc at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.61, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Premier Inc that is +2.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Premier Inc (PINC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Premier Inc grew -4.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +2.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Premier Inc (PINC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Premier Inc (+2.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Premier Inc (PINC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.02 %: that much free cash flow Premier Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Premier Inc (PINC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Premier Inc it is $9.98 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $49.42. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Premier Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, PINC trades above its calculated fair value: price $49.42, fair value $9.98, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PINC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($49.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.98). For Premier Inc the two are $39.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Premier Inc worth?
The market values Premier Inc at about $4.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $49.42; our models calculate a fair value of $9.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PINC?
Our models span a range for Premier Inc: cautious scenario $8.77, base $9.98, optimistic $11.52 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $49.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PINC?
Premier Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 290.4 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 3.0, P/S 4.5, EV/EBITDA 16.8.
What is the PEG ratio of PINC?
The PEG ratio of Premier Inc is 1.63 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Premier Inc (PINC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Premier Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 0.9%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PINC from its 52-week high?
Premier Inc trades at $49.42, about 1% below its 52-week high of $49.72 and 152% above the low of $19.65 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Premier Inc?
From the same area (Health Care) we also value SHUKRAPHAR, KMCSHIL, TITANBIO, FERMENTA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Premier Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $49.42, calculated fair value $9.98 (−80%), Quality Score 60/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PINC calculated?
We run Premier Inc through 20 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $9.98 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Premier Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Premier Inc (PINC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $49.42. Our model-based fair value is $9.98, about 80% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Premier Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Premier Inc (PINC) come from?
Earnings per share at Premier Inc grew +7.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.4 %, EBIT margin −9.1 %, tax rate +3.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +18.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Premier Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Premier Inc (PINC)?
The market capitalisation of Premier Inc is $4.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Premier Inc (PINC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Premier Inc is 5.81 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Premier Inc (PINC)?
Earnings per share at Premier Inc are $0.1700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 290.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Premier Inc (PINC)?
The dividend yield of Premier Inc is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Premier Inc (PINC)?
The net margin of Premier Inc is 2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Premier Inc (PINC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Premier Inc is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Premier Inc (PINC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Premier Inc is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Premier Inc (PINC)?
The operating margin of Premier Inc is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Premier Inc (PINC)?
Revenue at Premier Inc is growing −3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Premier Inc (PINC)?
Earnings per share at Premier Inc are growing −70.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Premier Inc (PINC) carry?
The net debt of Premier Inc is $198M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 6, 2026