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Vontobel Holding (VONN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Vontobel Holding stock CHF 55.80, price CHF 90.60, that is 38.4% below the price, quality 65 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services CH · ISIN CH0012335540

VH Vontobel Holding logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

Vontobel Holding

VONN · SW
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 38% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 65/100
Highly profitable · 23.9% net margin (TTM)
3.3% dividend yield · Low payout
Positive coverage
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +24%, profit +87%.
Wide moat 70/100 · thin data
Some data
Fair value CHF 55.80 · Strongly overvalued (−38.4%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.0 %/yr in CHF)
Trails peers (5/14)
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

CHF 94.40 CHF 41.29 Fair Value CHF 55.80 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 41.29 – CHF 94.40 · fair‑value band CHF 40.82 – CHF 69.74 · the CHF 90.60 price screens above the CHF 55.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Vontobel Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services to private and institutional clients in Switzerland and internationally. The company offers fixed advances, current account overdrafts, guarantees, and margin requirements for derivative transactions.

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It also offers private equity and credit, and venture capital; investment solutions for equities, fixed income, quantitative, multi asset, and private markets; and structured solutions.

In addition, the company provides real estate financing and lombard loans; our structured products, including investment products, and thematic investments; leverage products, such as constant leverage certificates, mini futures, warrants, warrants with knock-out, and warrants with knock-out open-end; and thematic investments, comprising strategic and tracker certificates.

Further, it offers barrier reverse convertibles, barrier reverse convertibles with conditional coupon, bonus certificates, bonus certificates with cap, callable barrier reverse convertibles, callable reverse convertibles, capital protection notes, capped capital protection notes, credit linked notes, discount certificates, discount certificates with barrier, multi barrier reverse convertibles, multi barrier reverse convertibles with conditional coupon, multi bonus certificates, multi bonus certificates with cap, multi callable barrier reverse convertibles, multi callable reverse convertibles, multi reverse convertibles, multi reverse convertibles with conditional coupon, outperformance certificates, outperformance certificates with cap, and reverse convertibles.

Vontobel Holding AG was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

Vontobel Holding (VONN) currently trades at CHF 90.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 55.80, 38% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of CHF 55.80 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the CHF 90.60 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 22.44, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: CHF 40.82 (bear) to CHF 69.74 (bull), the price of CHF 90.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Vontobel Holding reported revenue of CHF 1.5B in FY2025 versus CHF 1.9B in FY2021, a compound −5.8%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 280M in FY2025, compounding −7.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap CHF 5.2B Mid · P/E ratio 13.6 · P/S ratio 3.25 · EPS (TTM) CHF 6.66 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 23.9% · Return on equity 15.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 70 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −38%, VONN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear CHF 40.82 Fair Value CHF 55.80 Bull CHF 69.74
Price CHF 90.60 · Downside -38.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 3.13 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income CHF 40.82 CHF 47.17 CHF 61.51 76
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 28.92 CHF 46.80 CHF 65.54 66
Gordon GGM CHF 28.92 CHF 62.85 CHF 105.15 65
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 28.92 CHF 62.85 CHF 105.15 65
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 28.92 CHF 46.80 CHF 65.54 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 48.52 CHF 64.69 CHF 80.86 63
P/B Multiple CHF 35.17 CHF 46.90 CHF 58.62 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 16.75 CHF 22.44 CHF 33.50 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 40.82 CHF 47.17 CHF 61.51 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 31
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 53
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 77
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 92
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 78
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 95
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.5% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.2% vs 4.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 24%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

VONN screens overvalued: fair value 38% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (65 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: The asset manager benefits from stable margins achieved through efficiency gains, but thin public evidence and past institutional outflows limit any durable moat assessment.
Main risk: Continued institutional outflows could persist if costs from the German office and hires exceed new inflows in a crowded market, reducing fee income and margins.
Vontobel is expanding its German footprint with a new Düsseldorf office and targeted hires from rivals to grow institutional and private client business. This builds on earlier efficiency gains that lifted margins but comes against a backdrop of past net outflows in institutional assets. Our models currently see it as overvalued. Will these regional moves convert more institutional inflows than they raise ongoing costs in a crowded market?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 588 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 65 · Above median
Fair Value upside −38.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 15.6% · Above median
Return on assets 0.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 23.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 32.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 23.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.21× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 13.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.09× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 3.25× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 3.7× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 3.71× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)62 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)66 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Exor N.V EXO €73.35 €139.37 +90% vs VONN
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $162.81 $281.42 +73% vs VONN
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $116.75 $197.52 +69% vs VONN
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $501.49 $609.56 +22% vs VONN
State Street Corporation STT $165.56 $139.37 −16% vs VONN
Ares Management Corporation ARES $133.98 $99.35 −26% vs VONN
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $172.76 $123.42 −29% vs VONN
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd BAM $52.95 $31.26 −41% vs VONN
Blackstone Inc BX $119.50 $52.29 −56% vs VONN
KKR & Co KKR $96.48 $27.32 −72% vs VONN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vontobel Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VONN

Frequently asked questions

Is Vontobel Holding (VONN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 55.80 versus a price of CHF 90.60, about 38% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VONN?
Our model-based fair value for Vontobel Holding is CHF 55.80 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 90.60.
What is the quality score of VONN?
Vontobel Holding has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 55.80 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 40.82, optimistic scenario CHF 69.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vontobel Holding stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 55.80, about 38% lower versus a price of CHF 90.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 40.82, optimistic scenario CHF 69.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
Vontobel Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 1.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Vontobel Holding pay a dividend?
Vontobel Holding currently shows a dividend yield of 3.31% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Vontobel Holding (VONN) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Vontobel Holding pays a dividend of CHF 3.00 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Apr 16, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1996. The payout ratio is 45.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Low payout. A low payout ratio: the dividend takes at most 60 % of earnings. Whether free cash flow covers it as well, we cannot see for this company.
What is the intrinsic value of Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vontobel Holding it is CHF 55.80 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of CHF 90.60. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Vontobel Holding stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, VONN trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 90.60, fair value CHF 55.80, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VONN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 90.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 55.80). For Vontobel Holding the two are CHF 34.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vontobel Holding worth?
The market values Vontobel Holding at about CHF 5.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is CHF 90.60; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 55.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VONN?
Our models span a range for Vontobel Holding: cautious scenario CHF 40.82, base CHF 55.80, optimistic CHF 69.74 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price CHF 90.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VONN?
Vontobel Holding trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.6 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 55.80 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 14.1. Other multiples: PEG 3.7, P/B 2.1, P/S 3.3.
What is the PEG ratio of VONN?
The PEG ratio of Vontobel Holding is 3.71 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vontobel Holding (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 15.6%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VONN from its 52-week high?
Vontobel Holding trades at CHF 90.60, about 4% below its 52-week high of CHF 94.40 and 62% above the low of CHF 55.76 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 55.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vontobel Holding?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vontobel Holding stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price CHF 90.60, calculated fair value CHF 55.80 (−38%), Quality Score 65/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VONN calculated?
We run Vontobel Holding through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of CHF 55.80 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Vontobel Holding itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was CHF 90.60. Our model-based fair value is CHF 55.80, about 38% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vontobel Holding right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 69.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Vontobel Holding (VONN) come from?
Earnings per share at Vontobel Holding grew +3.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.5 %, EBIT margin −0.6 %, tax rate −0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Vontobel Holding

How large is the market capitalisation of Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
The market capitalisation of Vontobel Holding is CHF 5.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vontobel Holding is 3.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
Earnings per share at Vontobel Holding are CHF 6.66 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
The dividend yield of Vontobel Holding is 3.3% (payout 45.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
The net margin of Vontobel Holding is 23.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vontobel Holding is 15.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vontobel Holding is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
The operating margin of Vontobel Holding is 32.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
Revenue at Vontobel Holding is growing +23.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vontobel Holding (VONN)?
Earnings per share at Vontobel Holding are growing +87.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Vontobel Holding (VONN) generate?
The free cash flow of Vontobel Holding is CHF 1.4B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Vontobel Holding (VONN) carry?
The net debt of Vontobel Holding is CHF 16.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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