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Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Spectral AI Inc. stock $1.44, price $1.54, that is 6.5% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Healthcare US

SA Spectral AI Inc. logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Spectral AI Inc.

MDAI · US
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $1.44 · Fairly valued
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Revenue last quarter 30% below a year ago.
Quality 39/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −8.2 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -65.5% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$14.43 $0.9400 Fair Value $1.44 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9400 – $14.43 · fair‑value band $1.08 – $1.80 · the $1.54 price screens above the $1.44 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Spectral AI, Inc., an artificial intelligence (AI) company, focuses on predictive medical diagnostics in the United States.

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The company offers DeepView System, which uses proprietary AI algorithms to distinguish between fully damaged, partially damaged, and healthy human tissue characteristics invisible to the naked eye at the initial time point of wound presentation and delivers a binary prediction on the wounds capacity to heal by a specified time point in the future to assist the physician in making a more accurate, timely, and informed decision regarding the treatment of the patient's wounds.

Its system also develops AI-Burn software and MSI imaging technology, which consists of proprietary multi-spectral optics and sensors that capture injured tissue images. Spectral AI, Inc. is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Stock analysis

Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI) currently trades at $1.54, while our estimate is $1.44, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.9%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $1.08 (bear) to $1.80 (bull), the price of $1.54 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Spectral AI Inc. reported revenue of $19.7M in FY2025 versus $15.2M in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $49.4M Micro · P/S ratio 3.20 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3300 · Net margin −65.5% · Return on equity −2,308% · Return on assets (EBIT) −50.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −123% · Revenue (TTM) $15.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at −6%, MDAI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $1.08 Fair Value $1.44 Bull $1.80
Price $1.54 · Downside -6.5%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 36
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 39
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 33
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 92
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 21
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 21
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 17
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 10 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−33.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−27.4% (2021) → −43.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Devices · 402 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −6.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −35.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −65.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −122.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −30.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 3.21× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)25 · sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 44
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥178.92 ¥202.57 +13% vs MDAI
DexCom, Inc DXCM $79.92 $89.18 +12% vs MDAI
Stryker Corporation SYK $324.29 $358.30 +10% vs MDAI
STERIS plc STE $257.12 $279.53 +9% vs MDAI
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $44.70 $48.42 +8% vs MDAI
GE HealthCare Technologies Inc GEHC $83.65 $69.92 −16% vs MDAI
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $104.01 $81.94 −21% vs MDAI
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $110.46 $75.28 −32% vs MDAI
Medtronic plc MDT $101.59 $65.61 −35% vs MDAI
Koninklijke Philips N.V PHIA €27.06 €15.23 −44% vs MDAI

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Spectral AI Inc.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Spectral AI Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MDAI

Frequently asked questions

Is Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $1.44 versus a price of $1.54, about 6% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MDAI?
Our estimate for Spectral AI Inc. is $1.44 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.54.
What is the quality score of MDAI?
Spectral AI Inc. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $1.44 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $1.08, optimistic scenario $1.80. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Spectral AI Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $1.44, about 6% lower versus a price of $1.54 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $1.08, optimistic scenario $1.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
Spectral AI Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.4M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Spectral AI Inc. it is $1.44 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $1.54.
Is Spectral AI Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, MDAI trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.54, fair value $1.44, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MDAI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.44). For Spectral AI Inc. the two are $0.1000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Spectral AI Inc. worth?
The market values Spectral AI Inc. at about $49.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $1.54; our models calculate a fair value of $1.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MDAI?
Our models span a range for Spectral AI Inc.: cautious scenario $1.08, base $1.44, optimistic $1.80 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $1.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Spectral AI Inc. (as of Nov 10, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MDAI from its 52-week high?
Spectral AI Inc. trades at $1.54, about 43% below its 52-week high of $2.68 and 28% above the low of $1.20 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Spectral AI Inc.?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Abbott Laboratories,, Medtronic plc, Stryker Corporation, Boston Scientific Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Spectral AI Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $1.54, calculated fair value $1.44 (−6%), Quality Score 39/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Spectral AI Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $1.54. Our estimate is $1.44, about 6% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Spectral AI Inc. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Spectral AI Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
The market capitalisation of Spectral AI Inc. is $49.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Spectral AI Inc. is 3.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
Earnings per share at Spectral AI Inc. are $−0.3300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
The net margin of Spectral AI Inc. is −65.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Spectral AI Inc. is −2,308% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Spectral AI Inc. is −50.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
The operating margin of Spectral AI Inc. is −123% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI)?
Revenue at Spectral AI Inc. is growing −30.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI) generate?
The free cash flow of Spectral AI Inc. is −$9.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Spectral AI Inc. (MDAI) hold?
Spectral AI Inc. holds more cash than debt, $5.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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