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STOCK COMPARISON

Guocheng Mining Co vs Vale SA: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Guocheng Mining Co (000688) and Vale SA (VALE) compare, as of Sep 24, 2026.

As of Sep 24, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Vale SA as the less overvalued of the two: Guocheng Mining Co trades at ¥26.58 versus a fair value of ¥14.66 (-45%), while Vale SA trades at $13.82 versus $9.87 (-29%).
Guocheng Mining Co
000688.SHE · CNY · Industrials
-45%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price¥26.58
Fair Value¥14.66
Quality63/100
Vale SA
VALE · USD · Materials
-29%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$13.82
Fair Value$9.87
Quality55/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Guocheng Mining CoVale SA
Valuation
45.1×P/E (TTM)21.5×
9.39×P/S (TTM)n/a
19.54×P/Bn/a
25.1×EV/EBITDAn/a
n/aPEG0.33×
−44.8%Fair value upside−28.6%
0.5%Dividend yield9.9%
¥0.13Dividend per share$1.40
Profitability
35%Operating margin28%
1.30×EBIT margin trend (5Y)2.67×
32%Return on equity7%
10%Return on assets8%
Growth
56%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
45.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-4.5%
39.4%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)-0.7%
+25.2%Value creation/yr+10.6%
Balance & size
8.0×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.1×
0.88×Debt / equity0.61×
$8BMarket cap$61B
mixedGrowth qualityweak
Valuation multiples (P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA) are shown but not scored here: the two companies sit in different sectors, and multiples only compare fairly between similar business models. PEG stays scored, as it relates the P/E to growth.

Guocheng Mining Co leads: 7 to 4 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Guocheng Mining Coof which business quality 58 · market factors 46 Vale SAof which business quality 50 · market factors 58
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
62
31
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
100
18
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
36
56
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
51
47
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
48
75
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
43
70
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
36
50
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
67
60
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
61
89

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyGuocheng Mining CoPrice ¥26.58Vale SAPrice $13.82
DCF Models-12%close to the price¥23.28-21%below the price$10.94
Earnings-Based+20%above the price¥31.79-36%below the price$8.84
Dividend Discount-93%below the price¥1.73-14%close to the price$11.85
Multiples-49%below the price¥13.63-27%below the price$10.12
Asset-Based-94%below the price¥1.47-62%below the price$5.29
Growth DCF-67%below the price¥8.82-17%below the price$11.53
Economic Profit-42%below the price¥15.400%close to the price$13.88
Growth Earnings+56%above the price¥41.59-42%below the price$8.01
Minimum-94%below the price¥1.47-62%below the price$5.29
Maximum+56%above the price¥41.590%close to the price$13.88
Median-45%below the price¥14.51-24%below the price$10.53
Geometric mean-61%below the price¥10.47-30%below the price$9.70

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Guocheng Mining Co: 21 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Vale SA: 18 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Guocheng Mining Co
Price ¥26.58
Fair Value ¥14.66
Bear ¥8.39Bull ¥45.76
Vale SA
Price $13.82
Fair Value $9.87
Bear $6.61Bull $12.34

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Guocheng Mining Co · Industrials

Quality score63 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-45% · below median

Vale SA · Materials

Quality score55 · above median
Fair value upside-29% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 24, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Vale SA as the less overvalued of the two: Guocheng Mining Co trades at ¥26.58 versus a fair value of ¥14.66 (-45%), while Vale SA trades at $13.82 versus $9.87 (-29%).

Guocheng Mining Co has the higher quality score (63/100).

Open Vale SA live analysis →
Guocheng Mining Co · Vale SA

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.