GuoCheng Mining CO.,LTD (000688) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 50.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −9.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥9.34 to ¥46.87). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.45 – ¥51.48 · fair‑value band ¥9.34 – ¥46.87 · the ¥31.34 price screens above the ¥16.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
GuoCheng Mining CO.,LTD (000688) currently trades at ¥31.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.08, implying the stock looks roughly 48.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, GuoCheng Mining CO.,LTD generated revenue of 5.4B CNY at a net margin of 12.7%. Revenue grew 56.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.4%. Net debt stands at 4.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.34 (bear case) to ¥46.87 (bull case); at ¥31.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 164% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -49%, 000688 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥41.59) versus Asset-Based (¥1.47). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GuoCheng Mining CO.,LTD engages in the mining and exploration of mineral resources, and nonferrous and ferrous metals. The company's products include zinc, lead, silver, copper, and sulfur concentrates, as well as pyrite powders, industrial sulfuric acid, secondary iron concentrates, etc.
Full company description
GuoCheng Mining CO.,LTD engages in the mining and exploration of mineral resources, and nonferrous and ferrous metals. The company's products include zinc, lead, silver, copper, and sulfur concentrates, as well as pyrite powders, industrial sulfuric acid, secondary iron concentrates, etc. The company also engages in the trading of non-ferrous metal mineral products; and precious and rare metals, such as gold and silver products. In addition, it develops non-ferrous metals and ferrous metals. The company was formerly known as Jianxin Mining Co., Ltd. and changed its name to GuoCheng Mining Co., Ltd. in August 2018. GuoCheng Mining CO.,LTD was founded in 1978 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GuoCheng Mining CO.,LTD reported revenue of ¥4.8B in FY2025 versus ¥1.7B in FY2021, a compound +29.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2025, compounding +50.9%/yr from FY2021.
000688 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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