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STOCK COMPARISON

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Co vs Kweichow Moutai Co: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Co (000869) and Kweichow Moutai Co (600519) compare, as of Sep 24, 2026.

As of Sep 24, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Kweichow Moutai Co as the more attractively valued of the two: Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Co trades at ¥16.83 versus a fair value of ¥5.74 (-66%), while Kweichow Moutai Co trades at ¥1,251 versus ¥1,653 (+32%).
Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Co
000869.SHE · CNY · Consumer Staples
-66%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price¥16.83
Fair Value¥5.74
Quality63/100
Kweichow Moutai Co
600519.SHG · CNY · Consumer Staples
+32%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price¥1,251
Fair Value¥1,653
Quality82/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine CoKweichow Moutai Co
Valuation
176.3×P/E (TTM)18.9×
3.62×P/S (TTM)9.10×
1.07×P/B6.40×
20.9×EV/EBITDA13.3×
0.78×PEG1.65×
−65.9%Fair value upside+32.1%
1.5%Dividend yield4.2%
¥0.25Dividend per share¥51.95
Profitability
25%Operating margin68%
0.28×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.84×
1%Return on equity31%
1%Return on assets22%
Growth
8%Revenue growth (YoY)7%
-8.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)16.4%
-2.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)15.4%
−30.2%Value creation/yr+16.3%
Balance & size
9.1×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)3,969.8×
0.01×Debt / equityn/a
$2BMarket cap$234B
weakGrowth qualitymixed

Kweichow Moutai Co leads: 3 to 12 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Coof which business quality 62 · market factors 41 Kweichow Moutai Coof which business quality 79 · market factors 49
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
19
86
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
22
46
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
74
79
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
76
91
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
100
78
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
94
92
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
22
35
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
12
22
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
99
84

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyYantai Changyu Pioneer Wine CoPrice ¥16.83Kweichow Moutai CoPrice ¥1,251
DCF Models-52%below the price¥8.09+39%above the price¥1,736
Earnings-Based-90%below the price¥1.670%close to the price¥1,256
Dividend Discount-70%below the price¥4.99-21%below the price¥988
Multiples-75%below the price¥4.17-7%close to the price¥1,164
Asset-Based-37%below the price¥10.55-90%below the price¥131
Growth DCF-53%below the price¥7.90-15%below the price¥1,063
Economic Profit-61%below the price¥6.61-35%below the price¥810
Growth Earnings-89%below the price¥1.83+39%above the price¥1,744
Minimum-90%below the price¥1.67-90%below the price¥131
Maximum-37%below the price¥10.55+39%above the price¥1,744
Median-66%below the price¥5.80-11%close to the price¥1,113
Geometric mean-71%below the price¥4.80-27%below the price¥916

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Co: 25 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Kweichow Moutai Co: 13 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Co
Price ¥16.83
Fair Value ¥5.74
Bear ¥3.79Bull ¥6.30
Kweichow Moutai Co
Price ¥1,251
Fair Value ¥1,653
Bear ¥883Bull ¥2,267

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Co · Consumer Staples

Quality score63 · above median
Fair value upside-66% · bottom 25%

Kweichow Moutai Co · Consumer Staples

Quality score82 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+32% · above median

Bottom line

As of Sep 24, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Kweichow Moutai Co as the more attractively valued of the two: Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Co trades at ¥16.83 versus a fair value of ¥5.74 (-66%), while Kweichow Moutai Co trades at ¥1,251 versus ¥1,653 (+32%).

Kweichow Moutai Co has the higher quality score (82/100).

Open Kweichow Moutai Co live analysis →

More comparisons

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.