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STOCK COMPARISON

First Capital Securities Co Ltd Class A vs Orix Corp Ads: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how First Capital Securities Co Ltd Class A (002797) and Orix Corp Ads (IX) compare, as of Aug 10, 2026.

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Orix Corp Ads as the less overvalued of the two: First Capital Securities Co Ltd Class A trades at ¥6.56 versus a fair value of ¥3.40 (-48%), while Orix Corp Ads trades at $40.09 versus $35.05 (-13%).
First Capital Securities Co Ltd Class A
002797.SHE · CNY · Financials
-48%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price¥6.56
Fair Value¥3.40
Quality66/100
Orix Corp Ads
IX · USD · Financials
-13%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$40.09
Fair Value$35.05
Quality66/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

First Capital Securities Co Ltd Class AOrix Corp Ads
Valuation
29.8×P/E (TTM)16.1×
7.13×P/S (TTM)—
1.59×P/B—
5.5×EV/EBITDA—
—PEG2.72×
1.3%Dividend yield2.5%
¥0.08Dividend per share$156
Profitability
24%Net margin13%
31%Operating margin17%
6%Return on equity10%
2%Return on assets2%
Growth
29%Revenue growth (YoY)28%
5.5%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)9.9%
-0.1%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)9.0%
Balance & size
0.39×Debt / equity1.27×
$4BMarket cap$44B
weakGrowth qualityhealthy

Orix Corp Ads leads: 4 to 6 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

First Capital Securities Co Ltd Class Aof which business quality 64 · market factors 43 Orix Corp Adsof which business quality 63 · market factors 86
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
33
30
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
58
62
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
98
100
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
58
28
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
74
76
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
84
77
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
29
85
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
22
99
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
70
100

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

First Capital Securities Co Ltd Class A

DCF Models¥8.90
Earnings-Based¥3.49
Dividend Discount¥2.24
Multiples¥3.00
Asset-Based¥2.76
Growth DCF¥10.15
Economic Profit¥3.22

8 of 13 models see the stock below the current price.

Orix Corp Ads

DCF Models$9,409
Earnings-Based$6,958
Multiples$5,688
Asset-Based$2,750
Growth DCF$13,828
Economic Profit$4,118

0 of 11 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

First Capital Securities Co Ltd Class A
Bear ¥2.55Fair Value ¥3.40Bull ¥4.25
¥6.56 = current price (white tick)
Orix Corp Ads
Bear $26.29Fair Value $35.05Bull $43.81
$40.09 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

First Capital Securities Co Ltd Class A · Financials

Quality score66 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-48% · bottom 25%

Orix Corp Ads · Financials

Quality score66 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-13% · below median

Bottom line

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Orix Corp Ads as the less overvalued of the two: First Capital Securities Co Ltd Class A trades at ¥6.56 versus a fair value of ¥3.40 (-48%), while Orix Corp Ads trades at $40.09 versus $35.05 (-13%).

See the full analysis →
First Capital Securities Co Ltd Class A · Orix Corp Ads

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.