First Capital Securities Co (002797) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 27.5B CNY

Analysis

First Capital Securities Co (002797) currently trades at ¥6.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.40 — implying the stock looks roughly 49.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

First Capital Securities Co., Ltd. engages in securities business in China. It offers fixed-income products, such as treasury bonds, central bank bills, policy financial bonds and short-term financing bonds, medium-term notes, non-publicly oriented debt financing instruments, government bonds, corporate bonds, financial bonds, and other fixed-income products, as well as provides interest rate swaps. The company also provides investment banking, asset management, securities and futures brokerage, corporate financing, private equity fund management, credit, research, and alternative investment services, as well as other financial products. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.