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STOCK COMPARISON

Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels vs Marriott International: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels (0045) and Marriott International (MAR) compare, as of Aug 11, 2026.

As of Aug 11, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels as the less overvalued of the two: Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels trades at HK$5.80 versus a fair value of HK$3.26 (-44%), while Marriott International trades at $354 versus $136 (-62%).
Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels
0045.HK · HKD · Consumer Discretionary
-44%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceHK$5.80
Fair ValueHK$3.26
Quality52/100
Marriott International
MAR · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-62%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$354
Fair Value$136
Quality69/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Hongkong and Shanghai HotelsMarriott International
Valuation
27.7×P/E (TTM)38.0×
1.10×P/S (TTM)13.33×
0.24×P/B—
10.0×EV/EBITDA23.3×
4.79×PEG2.16×
—Dividend yield0.7%
—Dividend per share$2.68
Profitability
4%Net margin36%
14%Operating margin59%
1%Return on equity14%
1%Return on assets10%
Growth
-17%Revenue growth (YoY)13%
43.8%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)8.0%
11.9%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)19.9%
Balance & size
0.22×Debt / equity—
$1BMarket cap$96B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy

Marriott International leads: 4 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Hongkong and Shanghai Hotelsof which business quality 50 · market factors 50 Marriott Internationalof which business quality 63 · market factors 64
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
16
54
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
60
48
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
51
56
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
39
48
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
85
94
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
89
63
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
33
62
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
33
70
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
78
100

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels

DCF ModelsHK$0.91
Earnings-BasedHK$1.27
MultiplesHK$3.74
Asset-BasedHK$14.51
Growth DCFHK$0.92
Economic ProfitHK$6.89
Growth EarningsHK$3.73

18 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Marriott International

DCF Models$128
Earnings-Based$73.56
Dividend Discount$46.38
Multiples$160
Growth DCF$98.20
Economic Profit$104
Growth Earnings$189

23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels
Bear HK$2.45Fair Value HK$3.26Bull HK$4.54
HK$5.80 = current price (white tick)
Marriott International
Bear $69.84Fair Value $136Bull $206
$354 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score52 · below median
Fair value upside-44% · below median

Marriott International · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score69 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-62% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Aug 11, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels as the less overvalued of the two: Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels trades at HK$5.80 versus a fair value of HK$3.26 (-44%), while Marriott International trades at $354 versus $136 (-62%).

Marriott International has the higher quality score (69/100).

See the full analysis →
Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels · Marriott International

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.