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STOCK COMPARISON

Chinese Estates Holdings vs Swiss Prime Site: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Chinese Estates Holdings (0127) and Swiss Prime Site (SPSN) compare, as of Sep 30, 2026.

As of Sep 30, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Chinese Estates Holdings as the less overvalued of the two: Chinese Estates Holdings trades at HK$1.03 versus a fair value of HK$0.51 (−50.5%), while Swiss Prime Site trades at CHF 122 versus CHF 44.83 (−63.3%).
Chinese Estates Holdings
0127.HK · HKD · Real Estate
−50.5%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceHK$1.03
Fair ValueHK$0.51
Quality42/100
Swiss Prime Site
SPSN.SW · CHF · Real Estate
−63.3%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceCHF 122
Fair ValueCHF 44.83
Quality61/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Chinese Estates HoldingsSwiss Prime Site
Valuation
n/aP/E (TTM)24.0×
n/aP/E ex one-offs (FY2025)35.1×
n/aForward P/E (FY2027)28.4×
n/aMedian P/E at FY-end (10 FY, ex one-offs where documented)19.9×
1.48×P/S (TTM)17.80×
n/aP/B1.41×
n/aEV/EBITDA33.9×
n/aPEG6.45×
−50.5%Fair value upside−63.3%
3.9%Dividend yield1.4%
HK$0.04Dividend per shareCHF 1.75
Profitability
-19.4%Operating margin76.9%
n/aEBIT margin trend (5Y)1.75×
-3.2%Return on equity5.9%
-0.6%Return on assets1.9%
Growth
204.0%Revenue growth (YoY)-0.1%
-36.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-5.1%
-35.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)-6.9%
n/aValue creation/yr−7.1%
Balance & size
0.6×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)6.5×
0.03×Debt / equity0.66×
$250MMarket cap$12B
weakGrowth qualityweak
The P/E excluding one-off items is only shown where the special items are documented in the accounts (our own raw data or SEC filings). If one side lacks it, the reported P/E stays scored.
Swiss Prime Site, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 19.9.
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported.

Swiss Prime Site leads: 4 to 5 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Chinese Estates Holdingsof which business quality 41 · market factors 42 Swiss Prime Siteof which business quality 57 · market factors 58
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
4
34
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
40
39
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
5
80
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
58
43
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
100
92
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
95
100
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
27
39
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
9
43
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
82
69

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyChinese Estates HoldingsPrice HK$1.03Swiss Prime SitePrice CHF 122
DCF Modelsn/a−89.5%below the priceCHF 12.81
Dividend Discount−55.8%below the priceHK$0.46−64.0%below the priceCHF 44.01
Multiples−16.5%below the priceHK$0.86−59.8%below the priceCHF 49.13
Asset-Based+305.8%above the priceHK$4.18−51.7%below the priceCHF 59.01
Growth DCFn/a−96.1%below the priceCHF 4.77
Economic Profitn/a−41.9%below the priceCHF 70.99
Minimum−55.8%below the priceHK$0.46−96.1%below the priceCHF 4.77
Maximum+305.8%above the priceHK$4.18−41.9%below the priceCHF 70.99
Median−16.5%below the priceHK$0.86−61.9%below the priceCHF 46.57
Geometric mean+14.4%close to the priceHK$1.18−76.6%below the priceCHF 28.65

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Chinese Estates Holdings: 3 of 4 models see the stock below the current price.

Swiss Prime Site: 12 of 12 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Chinese Estates Holdings
Price HK$1.03
Fair Value HK$0.51
Bear HK$0.29Bull HK$0.68
Swiss Prime Site
Price CHF 122
Fair Value CHF 44.83
Bear CHF 35.29Bull CHF 56.04

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Chinese Estates Holdings · Real Estate

Quality score42 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside−50.5% · bottom 25%

Swiss Prime Site · Real Estate

Quality score61 · Top 25%
Fair value upside−63.3% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 30, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Chinese Estates Holdings as the less overvalued of the two: Chinese Estates Holdings trades at HK$1.03 versus a fair value of HK$0.51 (−50.5%), while Swiss Prime Site trades at CHF 122 versus CHF 44.83 (−63.3%).

Swiss Prime Site has the higher quality score (61/100).

Open Chinese Estates Holdings live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.